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Polityka·Brazylia

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

icon for Amazonas Governor Election Winner
Polityka·Brazylia

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz 45%

Cabo Daciolo 34%

Professora Maria do Carmo 31%

Roberto Cidade 17%

Polymarket
NOWE

Omar Aziz 45%

Cabo Daciolo 34%

Professora Maria do Carmo 31%

Roberto Cidade 17%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$93 Wol.

45%

icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$20 Wol.

34%

icon for Professora Maria do Carmo

Professora Maria do Carmo

$41 Wol.

31%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$20 Wol.

22%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$40 Wol.

12%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$40 Wol.

8%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$90 Wol.

5%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over advancement to a potential October 25 runoff. Omar Aziz (PSD) holds the polling edge after securing early party conventions and federation backing, while incumbent-aligned Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) consolidates interior support; Maria do Carmo (PL), David Almeida (Avante), and Cabo Daciolo split remaining preferences in a field of seven registered candidates. Recent developments, including candidacy filings by mid-August and party realignments, have reinforced a close two-way dynamic between Aziz and Cidade. Any shift in alliances, late polling movements among undecided voters, or turnout in Manaus versus the interior could widen separation before ballots close.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$343
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over advancement to a potential October 25 runoff. Omar Aziz (PSD) holds the polling edge after securing early party conventions and federation backing, while incumbent-aligned Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) consolidates interior support; Maria do Carmo (PL), David Almeida (Avante), and Cabo Daciolo split remaining preferences in a field of seven registered candidates. Recent developments, including candidacy filings by mid-August and party realignments, have reinforced a close two-way dynamic between Aziz and Cidade. Any shift in alliances, late polling movements among undecided voters, or turnout in Manaus versus the interior could widen separation before ballots close.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$343
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Amazonas Governor Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Omar Aziz" z 45%, za nim "Cabo Daciolo" z 34%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 45¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Amazonas Governor Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 17, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Amazonas Governor Election Winner", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" jest "Omar Aziz" z 45%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Cabo Daciolo" z 34%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.