Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho’s departure for the Senate, holds the highest implied probability in the Pará governor race due to her broad coalition and recent polling leads. A Real Time Big Data survey from mid-September showed her at 40% in the first-round scenario versus 35% for Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos, within the margin of error, with all other candidates below 4%. The October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff remain decisive, as undecided voters and late shifts in key municipalities could determine whether any candidate secures an outright majority or force a head-to-head contest that traders currently price as competitive between the top two.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHana Ghassan 60%
Dr. Daniel Santos 39%
Éder Mauro 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$46,566 Wol.
$46,566 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
60%
Dr. Daniel Santos
37%
Éder Mauro
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Paulo Rocha
<1%
Hana Ghassan 60%
Dr. Daniel Santos 39%
Éder Mauro 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$46,566 Wol.
$46,566 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
$17,266 Wol.
60%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$12,558 Wol.
37%
Éder Mauro
$5,308 Wol.
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$2,835 Wol.
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
$2,831 Wol.
<1%
Rogério Barra
$2,892 Wol.
<1%
Paulo Rocha
$2,875 Wol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho’s departure for the Senate, holds the highest implied probability in the Pará governor race due to her broad coalition and recent polling leads. A Real Time Big Data survey from mid-September showed her at 40% in the first-round scenario versus 35% for Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos, within the margin of error, with all other candidates below 4%. The October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff remain decisive, as undecided voters and late shifts in key municipalities could determine whether any candidate secures an outright majority or force a head-to-head contest that traders currently price as competitive between the top two.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$46,566Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho’s departure for the Senate, holds the highest implied probability in the Pará governor race due to her broad coalition and recent polling leads. A Real Time Big Data survey from mid-September showed her at 40% in the first-round scenario versus 35% for Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos, within the margin of error, with all other candidates below 4%. The October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff remain decisive, as undecided voters and late shifts in key municipalities could determine whether any candidate secures an outright majority or force a head-to-head contest that traders currently price as competitive between the top two.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$46,566Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho’s departure for the Senate, holds the highest implied probability in the Pará governor race due to her broad coalition and recent polling leads. A Real Time Big Data survey from mid-September showed her at 40% in the first-round scenario versus 35% for Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos, within the margin of error, with all other candidates below 4%. The October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff remain decisive, as undecided voters and late shifts in key municipalities could determine whether any candidate secures an outright majority or force a head-to-head contest that traders currently price as competitive between the top two.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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