The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains closely contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil), with trader pricing reflecting a narrow edge for Neto amid technical ties in recent state polls. Rodrigues benefits from stable approval ratings in the mid-50s to low-60s, particularly on education and infrastructure investments across the interior, while Neto draws support from urban voters and his prior municipal record. National shifts, including União's 2025 break with the Lula administration and Neto's alignment with the right-wing bloc, have reshaped coalition dynamics in this rematch from 2022. Polling fluctuations between firms, such as Quaest showing near-parity and Paraná Pesquisas indicating a wider Neto lead, underscore voter indecision and the impact of local versus federal positioning ahead of the October 4 first round.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoACM Neto 53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$32,753 Wol.
$32,753 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
ACM Neto
53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
46%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
ACM Neto 53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$32,753 Wol.
$32,753 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
ACM Neto
$9,636 Wol.
53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$9,811 Wol.
46%
Kleber Rosa
$3,451 Wol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$3,671 Wol.
<1%
João Roma
$2,077 Wol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$2,173 Wol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$1,935 Wol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains closely contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil), with trader pricing reflecting a narrow edge for Neto amid technical ties in recent state polls. Rodrigues benefits from stable approval ratings in the mid-50s to low-60s, particularly on education and infrastructure investments across the interior, while Neto draws support from urban voters and his prior municipal record. National shifts, including União's 2025 break with the Lula administration and Neto's alignment with the right-wing bloc, have reshaped coalition dynamics in this rematch from 2022. Polling fluctuations between firms, such as Quaest showing near-parity and Paraná Pesquisas indicating a wider Neto lead, underscore voter indecision and the impact of local versus federal positioning ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$32,753Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains closely contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil), with trader pricing reflecting a narrow edge for Neto amid technical ties in recent state polls. Rodrigues benefits from stable approval ratings in the mid-50s to low-60s, particularly on education and infrastructure investments across the interior, while Neto draws support from urban voters and his prior municipal record. National shifts, including União's 2025 break with the Lula administration and Neto's alignment with the right-wing bloc, have reshaped coalition dynamics in this rematch from 2022. Polling fluctuations between firms, such as Quaest showing near-parity and Paraná Pesquisas indicating a wider Neto lead, underscore voter indecision and the impact of local versus federal positioning ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$32,753Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains closely contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil), with trader pricing reflecting a narrow edge for Neto amid technical ties in recent state polls. Rodrigues benefits from stable approval ratings in the mid-50s to low-60s, particularly on education and infrastructure investments across the interior, while Neto draws support from urban voters and his prior municipal record. National shifts, including União's 2025 break with the Lula administration and Neto's alignment with the right-wing bloc, have reshaped coalition dynamics in this rematch from 2022. Polling fluctuations between firms, such as Quaest showing near-parity and Paraná Pesquisas indicating a wider Neto lead, underscore voter indecision and the impact of local versus federal positioning ahead of the October 4 first round.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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