Jerônimo Rodrigues maintains a clear lead in trader pricing for the Bahia governor race due to his incumbency as the PT governor seeking re-election, sustained approval ratings near 57 percent, and the party's entrenched organizational strength across the state. Recent polls through early September show a tight contest with ACM Neto of União Brasil, with first-round intentions often within the margin of error and second-round matchups equally balanced. Neto has focused criticism on federal highway conditions and infrastructure delivery under the current administration, while aligning more explicitly with national opposition figures. Minor candidates register negligible support in surveys, reinforcing the two-way dynamic ahead of the October 4 first round. Market pricing reflects trader assessment of these structural and polling factors over the closing weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJerônimo Rodrigues 62%
ACM Neto 37%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$150,096 Wol.
$150,096 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
62%
ACM Neto
37%
João Roma
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 62%
ACM Neto 37%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$150,096 Wol.
$150,096 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$49,800 Wol.
62%
ACM Neto
$58,593 Wol.
37%
João Roma
$5,186 Wol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 Wol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 Wol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Wol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Wol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues maintains a clear lead in trader pricing for the Bahia governor race due to his incumbency as the PT governor seeking re-election, sustained approval ratings near 57 percent, and the party's entrenched organizational strength across the state. Recent polls through early September show a tight contest with ACM Neto of União Brasil, with first-round intentions often within the margin of error and second-round matchups equally balanced. Neto has focused criticism on federal highway conditions and infrastructure delivery under the current administration, while aligning more explicitly with national opposition figures. Minor candidates register negligible support in surveys, reinforcing the two-way dynamic ahead of the October 4 first round. Market pricing reflects trader assessment of these structural and polling factors over the closing weeks.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$150,096Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues maintains a clear lead in trader pricing for the Bahia governor race due to his incumbency as the PT governor seeking re-election, sustained approval ratings near 57 percent, and the party's entrenched organizational strength across the state. Recent polls through early September show a tight contest with ACM Neto of União Brasil, with first-round intentions often within the margin of error and second-round matchups equally balanced. Neto has focused criticism on federal highway conditions and infrastructure delivery under the current administration, while aligning more explicitly with national opposition figures. Minor candidates register negligible support in surveys, reinforcing the two-way dynamic ahead of the October 4 first round. Market pricing reflects trader assessment of these structural and polling factors over the closing weeks.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$150,096Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Jerônimo Rodrigues maintains a clear lead in trader pricing for the Bahia governor race due to his incumbency as the PT governor seeking re-election, sustained approval ratings near 57 percent, and the party's entrenched organizational strength across the state. Recent polls through early September show a tight contest with ACM Neto of União Brasil, with first-round intentions often within the margin of error and second-round matchups equally balanced. Neto has focused criticism on federal highway conditions and infrastructure delivery under the current administration, while aligning more explicitly with national opposition figures. Minor candidates register negligible support in surveys, reinforcing the two-way dynamic ahead of the October 4 first round. Market pricing reflects trader assessment of these structural and polling factors over the closing weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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