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icon for São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Polityka·Brazylia

São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Polityka·Brazylia

São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place

Geraldo Rufino 87%

Petter Maahs 87%

William Teixeira 87%

Guilherme Derrite 87%

Polymarket
NOWE

Geraldo Rufino 87%

Petter Maahs 87%

William Teixeira 87%

Guilherme Derrite 87%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Geraldo Rufino

Geraldo Rufino

$0 Wol.

87%

icon for Petter Maahs

Petter Maahs

$0 Wol.

87%

icon for William Teixeira

William Teixeira

$0 Wol.

87%

icon for Guilherme Derrite

Guilherme Derrite

$0 Wol.

87%

icon for Maíra de Souza

Maíra de Souza

$0 Wol.

87%

icon for Soninha Francine

Soninha Francine

$0 Wol.

87%

icon for Ednelson Cesaretti

Ednelson Cesaretti

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Marcio Alves

Marcio Alves

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Marina Silva

Marina Silva

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Weller Gonçalves

Weller Gonçalves

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for André do Prado

André do Prado

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Dra. Eliana Ferreira

Dra. Eliana Ferreira

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Salles

Salles

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Simone Tebet

Simone Tebet

$0 Wol.

44%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).São Paulo voters will elect two senators in October 2026, and recent polls show a tight contest for the second seat among Marina Silva (Rede), Simone Tebet (PSB), Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and Ricardo Salles (Novo). Official campaigning began in mid-August amid high undecided and blank/null shares that compress margins between frontrunners and challengers. Fragmented party support, varying rejection rates, and the absence of a dominant coalition keep the ordering fluid. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with small shifts in polling averages or turnout among key blocs likely to reorder the field before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).São Paulo voters will elect two senators in October 2026, and recent polls show a tight contest for the second seat among Marina Silva (Rede), Simone Tebet (PSB), Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and Ricardo Salles (Novo). Official campaigning began in mid-August amid high undecided and blank/null shares that compress margins between frontrunners and challengers. Fragmented party support, varying rejection rates, and the absence of a dominant coalition keep the ordering fluid. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with small shifts in polling averages or turnout among key blocs likely to reorder the field before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Często zadawane pytania

"São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 14 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Geraldo Rufino" z 44%, za nim "Petter Maahs" z 44%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 44¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 44% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 17, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place", przeglądaj 14 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place" jest "Geraldo Rufino" z 44%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 44% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Petter Maahs" z 44%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.