São Paulo’s Senate race for the two seats up in October features a fragmented field where no candidate holds a commanding lead for first place. Recent Quaest, Datafolha, and Ideia polls show former ministers Marina Silva and Simone Tebet clustered at the top with support in the low-to-mid 20s, closely followed by Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles in the high teens. These results reflect the state’s polarized electorate, with Lula-aligned names drawing from center-left voters and right-leaning contenders backed by Governor Tarcísio de Freitas’s coalition and PL networks. Official campaigning opened in mid-August, and the multi-candidate ballot plus two-vote system keeps first-place probabilities tightly bunched among several viable contenders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSimone Tebet 36%
Marina Silva 28%
Soninha Francine 26%
Geraldo Rufino 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Simone Tebet
22%
Marina Silva
28%
Soninha Francine
26%
Geraldo Rufino
23%
Maíra de Souza
22%
André do Prado
22%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
22%
Guilherme Derrite
29%
Weller Gonçalves
19%
Salles
11%
Marcio Alves
8%
William Teixeira
8%
Petter Maahs
8%
Ednelson Cesaretti
7%
Simone Tebet 36%
Marina Silva 28%
Soninha Francine 26%
Geraldo Rufino 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Simone Tebet
$40 Wol.
22%
Marina Silva
$20 Wol.
28%
Soninha Francine
$20 Wol.
26%
Geraldo Rufino
$20 Wol.
23%
Maíra de Souza
$20 Wol.
22%
André do Prado
$20 Wol.
22%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$59 Wol.
22%
Guilherme Derrite
$40 Wol.
29%
Weller Gonçalves
$58 Wol.
19%
Salles
$20 Wol.
11%
Marcio Alves
$40 Wol.
8%
William Teixeira
$40 Wol.
8%
Petter Maahs
$42 Wol.
8%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$49 Wol.
7%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).São Paulo’s Senate race for the two seats up in October features a fragmented field where no candidate holds a commanding lead for first place. Recent Quaest, Datafolha, and Ideia polls show former ministers Marina Silva and Simone Tebet clustered at the top with support in the low-to-mid 20s, closely followed by Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles in the high teens. These results reflect the state’s polarized electorate, with Lula-aligned names drawing from center-left voters and right-leaning contenders backed by Governor Tarcísio de Freitas’s coalition and PL networks. Official campaigning opened in mid-August, and the multi-candidate ballot plus two-vote system keeps first-place probabilities tightly bunched among several viable contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Wolumen
$487Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).São Paulo’s Senate race for the two seats up in October features a fragmented field where no candidate holds a commanding lead for first place. Recent Quaest, Datafolha, and Ideia polls show former ministers Marina Silva and Simone Tebet clustered at the top with support in the low-to-mid 20s, closely followed by Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles in the high teens. These results reflect the state’s polarized electorate, with Lula-aligned names drawing from center-left voters and right-leaning contenders backed by Governor Tarcísio de Freitas’s coalition and PL networks. Official campaigning opened in mid-August, and the multi-candidate ballot plus two-vote system keeps first-place probabilities tightly bunched among several viable contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$487Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...São Paulo’s Senate race for the two seats up in October features a fragmented field where no candidate holds a commanding lead for first place. Recent Quaest, Datafolha, and Ideia polls show former ministers Marina Silva and Simone Tebet clustered at the top with support in the low-to-mid 20s, closely followed by Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles in the high teens. These results reflect the state’s polarized electorate, with Lula-aligned names drawing from center-left voters and right-leaning contenders backed by Governor Tarcísio de Freitas’s coalition and PL networks. Official campaigning opened in mid-August, and the multi-candidate ballot plus two-vote system keeps first-place probabilities tightly bunched among several viable contenders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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