The open Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for two seats on October 4 features a fragmented field after incumbents Luis Carlos Heinze and Paulo Paim opted not to seek reelection. Late-July Paraná Pesquisas polling shows Manuela d’Ávila, Marcel Van Hattem, Germano Rigotto, Paulo Pimenta, Frederico Antunes, and Ubiratan Sanderson clustered within a narrow margin, reflecting fluid voter preferences before formal campaigning begins and coalitions finalize. A July pre-candidate debate highlighted issues such as STF minister impeachment and state debt with the Union. With no dominant contender emerging yet, trader consensus prices multiple outcomes near 20-50% for second place, underscoring how coalition definitions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and additional polling could create separation ahead of the single-round vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTania Peres 28%
Milton Cardoso 25%
Renato Jaguarão 24%
Pimenta 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Tania Peres
28%
Milton Cardoso
25%
Renato Jaguarão
24%
Pimenta
23%
Frederico Antunes
20%
Rigotto
20%
Sanderson
20%
Marcel Van Hattem
18%
Manuela D'Ávila
16%
Ric Jones
11%
Luciano do MLB
9%
Regis Ethur
8%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
8%
Tania Peres 28%
Milton Cardoso 25%
Renato Jaguarão 24%
Pimenta 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Tania Peres
$59 Wol.
28%
Milton Cardoso
$20 Wol.
25%
Renato Jaguarão
$20 Wol.
24%
Pimenta
$20 Wol.
23%
Frederico Antunes
$20 Wol.
20%
Rigotto
$20 Wol.
20%
Sanderson
$20 Wol.
20%
Marcel Van Hattem
$20 Wol.
18%
Manuela D'Ávila
$20 Wol.
16%
Ric Jones
$59 Wol.
11%
Luciano do MLB
$101 Wol.
9%
Regis Ethur
$87 Wol.
8%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
$71 Wol.
8%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The open Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for two seats on October 4 features a fragmented field after incumbents Luis Carlos Heinze and Paulo Paim opted not to seek reelection. Late-July Paraná Pesquisas polling shows Manuela d’Ávila, Marcel Van Hattem, Germano Rigotto, Paulo Pimenta, Frederico Antunes, and Ubiratan Sanderson clustered within a narrow margin, reflecting fluid voter preferences before formal campaigning begins and coalitions finalize. A July pre-candidate debate highlighted issues such as STF minister impeachment and state debt with the Union. With no dominant contender emerging yet, trader consensus prices multiple outcomes near 20-50% for second place, underscoring how coalition definitions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and additional polling could create separation ahead of the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$536Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The open Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for two seats on October 4 features a fragmented field after incumbents Luis Carlos Heinze and Paulo Paim opted not to seek reelection. Late-July Paraná Pesquisas polling shows Manuela d’Ávila, Marcel Van Hattem, Germano Rigotto, Paulo Pimenta, Frederico Antunes, and Ubiratan Sanderson clustered within a narrow margin, reflecting fluid voter preferences before formal campaigning begins and coalitions finalize. A July pre-candidate debate highlighted issues such as STF minister impeachment and state debt with the Union. With no dominant contender emerging yet, trader consensus prices multiple outcomes near 20-50% for second place, underscoring how coalition definitions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and additional polling could create separation ahead of the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$536Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The open Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for two seats on October 4 features a fragmented field after incumbents Luis Carlos Heinze and Paulo Paim opted not to seek reelection. Late-July Paraná Pesquisas polling shows Manuela d’Ávila, Marcel Van Hattem, Germano Rigotto, Paulo Pimenta, Frederico Antunes, and Ubiratan Sanderson clustered within a narrow margin, reflecting fluid voter preferences before formal campaigning begins and coalitions finalize. A July pre-candidate debate highlighted issues such as STF minister impeachment and state debt with the Union. With no dominant contender emerging yet, trader consensus prices multiple outcomes near 20-50% for second place, underscoring how coalition definitions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and additional polling could create separation ahead of the single-round vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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