Skip to main content
icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

Linhares Jiboia 45%

Zenaide Maia 42%

Tércio Tinôco 41%

Rosália Fernandes 40%

Polymarket
NOWE

Linhares Jiboia 45%

Zenaide Maia 42%

Tércio Tinôco 41%

Rosália Fernandes 40%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$0 Wol.

45%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$0 Wol.

42%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$0 Wol.

41%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$0 Wol.

40%

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$0 Wol.

40%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$0 Wol.

39%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$0 Wol.

39%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$0 Wol.

38%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$0 Wol.

38%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$0 Wol.

37%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$0 Wol.

37%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$0 Wol.

36%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$0 Wol.

36%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$0 Wol.

36%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel polling shows a tight contest for Rio Grande do Norte’s two Senate seats, with Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) at 21%, Samanda de Lula (PT) at 18%, Coronel Hélio (PL) at 15%, and Rafael Motta (PDT) at 14%—all within the margin of error—while Zenaide Maia (PSD) trails slightly. This fragmented field, featuring multiple incumbents and party-backed challengers, leaves second place highly uncertain and sustains trader consensus near even odds across leading names. The October 4 election timeline, limited late-cycle polling, and absence of decisive coalition shifts or standout campaign moments keep probabilities compressed. Further surveys, formal alliances, or turnout patterns among key voter blocs could quickly reorder the ranking and widen gaps ahead of the first-round vote count.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel polling shows a tight contest for Rio Grande do Norte’s two Senate seats, with Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) at 21%, Samanda de Lula (PT) at 18%, Coronel Hélio (PL) at 15%, and Rafael Motta (PDT) at 14%—all within the margin of error—while Zenaide Maia (PSD) trails slightly. This fragmented field, featuring multiple incumbents and party-backed challengers, leaves second place highly uncertain and sustains trader consensus near even odds across leading names. The October 4 election timeline, limited late-cycle polling, and absence of decisive coalition shifts or standout campaign moments keep probabilities compressed. Further surveys, formal alliances, or turnout patterns among key voter blocs could quickly reorder the ranking and widen gaps ahead of the first-round vote count.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 14 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Linhares Jiboia" z 45%, za nim "Zenaide Maia" z 42%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 45¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 17, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place", przeglądaj 14 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" jest "Linhares Jiboia" z 45%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Zenaide Maia" z 42%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.