In the fragmented 2026 Roraima Senate race for Brazil's two seats, trader consensus on second place remains tightly clustered among more than a dozen candidates because no single contender has established a dominant coalition or polling lead this early. Recent party conventions in early August finalized nominations, including Teresa Surita for MDB, multiple PL names tied to Bolsonaro family networks, PSOL's Mário Rocha and Bartô Macuxi, and others from PSB, PSD, and União Brasil. This broad field, combined with ongoing alliance negotiations and the absence of decisive statewide surveys, sustains even probabilities near 20-25% for top listed options. Separation could emerge from late endorsements, primary vote concentration in key municipalities, or shifts in turnout patterns ahead of October balloting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRegina Tio Ivo 46%
Nicoletti 26%
Mario Rocha 25%
Teresa Surita 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Regina Tio Ivo
46%
Nicoletti
26%
Mario Rocha
25%
Teresa Surita
25%
Pastor Isamar
24%
Hilton Xavier
24%
Helio Bolsonaro
23%
Chico Rodrigues
22%
Helena da Asatur
21%
Hiperion de Oliveira
21%
Rogério Miranda
21%
Márcio Junqueira
20%
Bartô Macuxi
19%
Regina Tio Ivo 46%
Nicoletti 26%
Mario Rocha 25%
Teresa Surita 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Regina Tio Ivo
$0 Wol.
46%
Nicoletti
$0 Wol.
26%
Mario Rocha
$0 Wol.
25%
Teresa Surita
$0 Wol.
25%
Pastor Isamar
$0 Wol.
24%
Hilton Xavier
$0 Wol.
24%
Helio Bolsonaro
$0 Wol.
23%
Chico Rodrigues
$0 Wol.
22%
Helena da Asatur
$0 Wol.
21%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$0 Wol.
21%
Rogério Miranda
$0 Wol.
21%
Márcio Junqueira
$0 Wol.
20%
Bartô Macuxi
$0 Wol.
19%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the fragmented 2026 Roraima Senate race for Brazil's two seats, trader consensus on second place remains tightly clustered among more than a dozen candidates because no single contender has established a dominant coalition or polling lead this early. Recent party conventions in early August finalized nominations, including Teresa Surita for MDB, multiple PL names tied to Bolsonaro family networks, PSOL's Mário Rocha and Bartô Macuxi, and others from PSB, PSD, and União Brasil. This broad field, combined with ongoing alliance negotiations and the absence of decisive statewide surveys, sustains even probabilities near 20-25% for top listed options. Separation could emerge from late endorsements, primary vote concentration in key municipalities, or shifts in turnout patterns ahead of October balloting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the fragmented 2026 Roraima Senate race for Brazil's two seats, trader consensus on second place remains tightly clustered among more than a dozen candidates because no single contender has established a dominant coalition or polling lead this early. Recent party conventions in early August finalized nominations, including Teresa Surita for MDB, multiple PL names tied to Bolsonaro family networks, PSOL's Mário Rocha and Bartô Macuxi, and others from PSB, PSD, and União Brasil. This broad field, combined with ongoing alliance negotiations and the absence of decisive statewide surveys, sustains even probabilities near 20-25% for top listed options. Separation could emerge from late endorsements, primary vote concentration in key municipalities, or shifts in turnout patterns ahead of October balloting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the fragmented 2026 Roraima Senate race for Brazil's two seats, trader consensus on second place remains tightly clustered among more than a dozen candidates because no single contender has established a dominant coalition or polling lead this early. Recent party conventions in early August finalized nominations, including Teresa Surita for MDB, multiple PL names tied to Bolsonaro family networks, PSOL's Mário Rocha and Bartô Macuxi, and others from PSB, PSD, and União Brasil. This broad field, combined with ongoing alliance negotiations and the absence of decisive statewide surveys, sustains even probabilities near 20-25% for top listed options. Separation could emerge from late endorsements, primary vote concentration in key municipalities, or shifts in turnout patterns ahead of October balloting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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