Incumbent Rep. David Valadao leads Polymarket trader consensus at 96% implied probability to win the CA-22 top-two primary on June 2, driven by his dominant fundraising—far ahead of Democratic challengers—and proven resilience in this Central Valley battleground, where he has advanced past crowded fields before despite the district's Democratic lean. Recent Federal Election Commission data confirms Valadao pulling away financially, while State Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains and school board member Randy Villegas remain neck-and-neck for the second advancement spot, trading at 44% and 57% respectively amid a split Democratic establishment: power brokers back Bains, grassroots favor Villegas, with no state party endorsement. Latino turnout and agricultural issues could tip the balance in the final weeks before early voting ramps up.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
Jun 2, 2026
David Valadao
95%
Randy Villegas
56%
Jasmeet Bains
39%
Chris Mathys
7%
Rudy Salas
5%
$970 Wol.
David Valadao
$334 Wol.
95%
Randy Villegas
$231 Wol.
56%
Jasmeet Bains
$78 Wol.
39%
Chris Mathys
$0 Wol.
7%
Rudy Salas
$327 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao leads Polymarket trader consensus at 96% implied probability to win the CA-22 top-two primary on June 2, driven by his dominant fundraising—far ahead of Democratic challengers—and proven resilience in this Central Valley battleground, where he has advanced past crowded fields before despite the district's Democratic lean. Recent Federal Election Commission data confirms Valadao pulling away financially, while State Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains and school board member Randy Villegas remain neck-and-neck for the second advancement spot, trading at 44% and 57% respectively amid a split Democratic establishment: power brokers back Bains, grassroots favor Villegas, with no state party endorsement. Latino turnout and agricultural issues could tip the balance in the final weeks before early voting ramps up.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET
Wolumen
$970Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao leads Polymarket trader consensus at 96% implied probability to win the CA-22 top-two primary on June 2, driven by his dominant fundraising—far ahead of Democratic challengers—and proven resilience in this Central Valley battleground, where he has advanced past crowded fields before despite the district's Democratic lean. Recent Federal Election Commission data confirms Valadao pulling away financially, while State Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains and school board member Randy Villegas remain neck-and-neck for the second advancement spot, trading at 44% and 57% respectively amid a split Democratic establishment: power brokers back Bains, grassroots favor Villegas, with no state party endorsement. Latino turnout and agricultural issues could tip the balance in the final weeks before early voting ramps up.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$970Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. David Valadao leads Polymarket trader consensus at 96% implied probability to win the CA-22 top-two primary on June 2, driven by his dominant fundraising—far ahead of Democratic challengers—and proven resilience in this Central Valley battleground, where he has advanced past crowded fields before despite the district's Democratic lean. Recent Federal Election Commission data confirms Valadao pulling away financially, while State Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains and school board member Randy Villegas remain neck-and-neck for the second advancement spot, trading at 44% and 57% respectively amid a split Democratic establishment: power brokers back Bains, grassroots favor Villegas, with no state party endorsement. Latino turnout and agricultural issues could tip the balance in the final weeks before early voting ramps up.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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