Trader consensus heavily favors Google Gemini achieving 40%+ on the FrontierMath benchmark by June 30, with 92% implied probability on that outcome, driven by Gemini 3 Pro's recent record of 38% on Tiers 1–3 (300 expert-level math problems) and over 40% using Deep Think mode, surpassing prior leaders. Gemini 3.1 Pro matched these feats in February 2026 while solving a novel Tier 4 problem, signaling rapid advances in AI mathematical reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool integration. Amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (47.6% top score) and Anthropic's Claude, Google's aggressive iteration pace—bolstered by potential Google I/O announcements in May—fuels optimism, though benchmark contamination risks and eval protocol changes could introduce uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGoogle Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$127,679 Wol.
Feb 28, 2026
40%+
92%
45%+
38%
50%+
33%
60%+
17%
$127,679 Wol.
40%+
$30,444 Wol.
92%
45%+
$48,271 Wol.
38%
50%+
$18,709 Wol.
33%
60%+
$30,255 Wol.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus heavily favors Google Gemini achieving 40%+ on the FrontierMath benchmark by June 30, with 92% implied probability on that outcome, driven by Gemini 3 Pro's recent record of 38% on Tiers 1–3 (300 expert-level math problems) and over 40% using Deep Think mode, surpassing prior leaders. Gemini 3.1 Pro matched these feats in February 2026 while solving a novel Tier 4 problem, signaling rapid advances in AI mathematical reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool integration. Amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (47.6% top score) and Anthropic's Claude, Google's aggressive iteration pace—bolstered by potential Google I/O announcements in May—fuels optimism, though benchmark contamination risks and eval protocol changes could introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$127,679Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus heavily favors Google Gemini achieving 40%+ on the FrontierMath benchmark by June 30, with 92% implied probability on that outcome, driven by Gemini 3 Pro's recent record of 38% on Tiers 1–3 (300 expert-level math problems) and over 40% using Deep Think mode, surpassing prior leaders. Gemini 3.1 Pro matched these feats in February 2026 while solving a novel Tier 4 problem, signaling rapid advances in AI mathematical reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool integration. Amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (47.6% top score) and Anthropic's Claude, Google's aggressive iteration pace—bolstered by potential Google I/O announcements in May—fuels optimism, though benchmark contamination risks and eval protocol changes could introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$127,679Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors Google Gemini achieving 40%+ on the FrontierMath benchmark by June 30, with 92% implied probability on that outcome, driven by Gemini 3 Pro's recent record of 38% on Tiers 1–3 (300 expert-level math problems) and over 40% using Deep Think mode, surpassing prior leaders. Gemini 3.1 Pro matched these feats in February 2026 while solving a novel Tier 4 problem, signaling rapid advances in AI mathematical reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool integration. Amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (47.6% top score) and Anthropic's Claude, Google's aggressive iteration pace—bolstered by potential Google I/O announcements in May—fuels optimism, though benchmark contamination risks and eval protocol changes could introduce uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania