Current weather observations and forecast models from agencies like the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show Amsterdam reaching a daily maximum of 18°C on June 15, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant warming aloft. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, where average highs hover near 19°C, and recent model runs confirm stable marine-influenced conditions preventing excursions above or below this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 18°C reflects real-time data integration, including surface station readings and ensemble forecasts with narrow uncertainty ranges. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day radiative heating or measurement revisions exceeding typical instrumental error margins of ±0.5°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$53,892 Wol.
$53,892 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$53,892 Wol.
$53,892 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
14°C or below
$700 Wol.
No
15°C
$5,595 Wol.
No
16°C
$5,962 Wol.
No
17°C
$16,064 Wol.
No
18°C
$12,496 Wol.
Yes
19°C
$6,932 Wol.
No
20°C
$2,445 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,112 Wol.
No
22°C
$1,174 Wol.
No
23°C
$1,194 Wol.
No
24°C or higher
$218 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather observations and forecast models from agencies like the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show Amsterdam reaching a daily maximum of 18°C on June 15, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant warming aloft. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, where average highs hover near 19°C, and recent model runs confirm stable marine-influenced conditions preventing excursions above or below this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 18°C reflects real-time data integration, including surface station readings and ensemble forecasts with narrow uncertainty ranges. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day radiative heating or measurement revisions exceeding typical instrumental error margins of ±0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,892Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather observations and forecast models from agencies like the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show Amsterdam reaching a daily maximum of 18°C on June 15, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant warming aloft. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, where average highs hover near 19°C, and recent model runs confirm stable marine-influenced conditions preventing excursions above or below this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 18°C reflects real-time data integration, including surface station readings and ensemble forecasts with narrow uncertainty ranges. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day radiative heating or measurement revisions exceeding typical instrumental error margins of ±0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$53,892Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current weather observations and forecast models from agencies like the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show Amsterdam reaching a daily maximum of 18°C on June 15, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant warming aloft. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, where average highs hover near 19°C, and recent model runs confirm stable marine-influenced conditions preventing excursions above or below this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 18°C reflects real-time data integration, including surface station readings and ensemble forecasts with narrow uncertainty ranges. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day radiative heating or measurement revisions exceeding typical instrumental error margins of ±0.5°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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