Forecast models from the National Weather Service and local outlets indicate Austin's July 18 high will likely settle in the low to mid-90s Fahrenheit, with 92-93°F emerging as the consensus range due to partly cloudy skies, reduced solar heating from lingering moisture, and a moderating upper-level pattern after recent hotter spells. Typical July maxima near 96°F provide climatological context, yet current steering flows and potential afternoon convection lower the odds of exceeding 95°F while supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 92-93°F band. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of official Austin-Bergstrom observations used for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on July 18?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 18?
94-95°F 51%
96-97°F 22%
92-93°F 17%
90-91°F 4%
$20,952 Wol.
$20,952 Wol.
Jul 18, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
17%
94-95°F
51%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
3%
100°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 51%
96-97°F 22%
92-93°F 17%
90-91°F 4%
$20,952 Wol.
$20,952 Wol.
Jul 18, 2026
81°F or below
$368 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$908 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$624 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,738 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$2,042 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$2,176 Wol.
4%
92-93°F
$4,277 Wol.
17%
94-95°F
$2,491 Wol.
51%
96-97°F
$1,311 Wol.
22%
98-99°F
$2,324 Wol.
3%
100°F or higher
$2,697 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and local outlets indicate Austin's July 18 high will likely settle in the low to mid-90s Fahrenheit, with 92-93°F emerging as the consensus range due to partly cloudy skies, reduced solar heating from lingering moisture, and a moderating upper-level pattern after recent hotter spells. Typical July maxima near 96°F provide climatological context, yet current steering flows and potential afternoon convection lower the odds of exceeding 95°F while supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 92-93°F band. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of official Austin-Bergstrom observations used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$20,952Data zakończenia
Jul 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and local outlets indicate Austin's July 18 high will likely settle in the low to mid-90s Fahrenheit, with 92-93°F emerging as the consensus range due to partly cloudy skies, reduced solar heating from lingering moisture, and a moderating upper-level pattern after recent hotter spells. Typical July maxima near 96°F provide climatological context, yet current steering flows and potential afternoon convection lower the odds of exceeding 95°F while supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 92-93°F band. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of official Austin-Bergstrom observations used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20,952Data zakończenia
Jul 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and local outlets indicate Austin's July 18 high will likely settle in the low to mid-90s Fahrenheit, with 92-93°F emerging as the consensus range due to partly cloudy skies, reduced solar heating from lingering moisture, and a moderating upper-level pattern after recent hotter spells. Typical July maxima near 96°F provide climatological context, yet current steering flows and potential afternoon convection lower the odds of exceeding 95°F while supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 92-93°F band. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of official Austin-Bergstrom observations used for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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