National Weather Service forecasts a high near 75°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport today under abundant sunshine, light winds, and dry post-frontal conditions, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. This aligns with NOAA ensemble models projecting peak mid-afternoon heating from current midday readings around 65°F, following yesterday's unusually cool high—one of Austin's coldest for May 1—due to lingering cold air mass. Historical May norms near 83°F provide context for the rebound potential amid minimal cloud cover. Realistic challenges include low-probability marine layer intrusion or a late northerly wind shift capping temperatures below 74°F, with hourly observations and afternoon updates key to monitor.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on May 2?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$67,761 Wol.
$67,761 Wol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$67,761 Wol.
$67,761 Wol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service forecasts a high near 75°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport today under abundant sunshine, light winds, and dry post-frontal conditions, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. This aligns with NOAA ensemble models projecting peak mid-afternoon heating from current midday readings around 65°F, following yesterday's unusually cool high—one of Austin's coldest for May 1—due to lingering cold air mass. Historical May norms near 83°F provide context for the rebound potential amid minimal cloud cover. Realistic challenges include low-probability marine layer intrusion or a late northerly wind shift capping temperatures below 74°F, with hourly observations and afternoon updates key to monitor.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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