Official observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 20°C on April 28, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast guidance from SMN and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected mild late-autumn conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing warmer air advection, with daytime highs capped around 20°C amid light winds and partial cloud cover. Buenos Aires' April climatology averages 21°C maxima, but recent cooler southerly flows reinforced this positioning. Post-measurement revisions from data validation or sensor recalibration represent the only realistic, albeit remote, challenges to resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 28?
20°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$93,237 Wol.
$93,237 Wol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$93,237 Wol.
$93,237 Wol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 26, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 20°C on April 28, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast guidance from SMN and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected mild late-autumn conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing warmer air advection, with daytime highs capped around 20°C amid light winds and partial cloud cover. Buenos Aires' April climatology averages 21°C maxima, but recent cooler southerly flows reinforced this positioning. Post-measurement revisions from data validation or sensor recalibration represent the only realistic, albeit remote, challenges to resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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