Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on July 12 around 12–13°C, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This follows the unusually warm 18°C reading on July 7, which highlighted short-term variability from transient warm advection. Ensemble spreads and local station data keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes nearly equal in trader pricing, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical July highs average near 14–15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the normal range. The market will resolve on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 12?
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$26,362 Wol.
$26,362 Wol.
Jul 12, 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$26,362 Wol.
$26,362 Wol.
Jul 12, 2026
6°C or below
$355 Wol.
No
7°C
$325 Wol.
No
8°C
$600 Wol.
No
9°C
$2,312 Wol.
No
10°C
$5,565 Wol.
No
11°C
$3,805 Wol.
No
12°C
$3,404 Wol.
Yes
13°C
$2,133 Wol.
No
14°C
$3,396 Wol.
No
15°C
$3,340 Wol.
No
16°C or higher
$1,126 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on July 12 around 12–13°C, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This follows the unusually warm 18°C reading on July 7, which highlighted short-term variability from transient warm advection. Ensemble spreads and local station data keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes nearly equal in trader pricing, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical July highs average near 14–15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the normal range. The market will resolve on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$26,362Data zakończenia
Jul 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on July 12 around 12–13°C, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This follows the unusually warm 18°C reading on July 7, which highlighted short-term variability from transient warm advection. Ensemble spreads and local station data keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes nearly equal in trader pricing, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical July highs average near 14–15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the normal range. The market will resolve on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$26,362Data zakończenia
Jul 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on July 12 around 12–13°C, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This follows the unusually warm 18°C reading on July 7, which highlighted short-term variability from transient warm advection. Ensemble spreads and local station data keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes nearly equal in trader pricing, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical July highs average near 14–15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the normal range. The market will resolve on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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