Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C in Chengdu on April 20, driven by hourly observational data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of 24°C amid mostly overcast skies. Recent METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration guidance align with this, showing temperatures hovering around 23°C with low visibility and light rain in the evening, suppressing further solar heating consistent with cloudy spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Historical April highs average 22°C, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing for a brief spike to 25°C+ or a data revision from preliminary readings, with final daily records expected tomorrow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 20?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 20?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$88,355 Wol.
$88,355 Wol.
Apr 20, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$88,355 Wol.
$88,355 Wol.
Apr 20, 2026
17°C or below
$1,637 Wol.
No
18°C
$2,414 Wol.
No
19°C
$3,354 Wol.
No
20°C
$4,803 Wol.
No
21°C
$6,433 Wol.
No
22°C
$10,211 Wol.
No
23°C
$6,764 Wol.
No
24°C
$12,974 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$11,588 Wol.
No
26°C
$10,485 Wol.
No
27°C or higher
$17,692 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C in Chengdu on April 20, driven by hourly observational data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of 24°C amid mostly overcast skies. Recent METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration guidance align with this, showing temperatures hovering around 23°C with low visibility and light rain in the evening, suppressing further solar heating consistent with cloudy spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Historical April highs average 22°C, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing for a brief spike to 25°C+ or a data revision from preliminary readings, with final daily records expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$88,355Data zakończenia
Apr 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C in Chengdu on April 20, driven by hourly observational data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of 24°C amid mostly overcast skies. Recent METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration guidance align with this, showing temperatures hovering around 23°C with low visibility and light rain in the evening, suppressing further solar heating consistent with cloudy spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Historical April highs average 22°C, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing for a brief spike to 25°C+ or a data revision from preliminary readings, with final daily records expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$88,355Data zakończenia
Apr 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C in Chengdu on April 20, driven by hourly observational data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of 24°C amid mostly overcast skies. Recent METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration guidance align with this, showing temperatures hovering around 23°C with low visibility and light rain in the evening, suppressing further solar heating consistent with cloudy spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Historical April highs average 22°C, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing for a brief spike to 25°C+ or a data revision from preliminary readings, with final daily records expected tomorrow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania