Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to peak temperatures of 35–38°C in Chengdu on July 6, reflecting the narrow range typical for early-July conditions in the Sichuan Basin. This subtropical monsoon climate features high humidity and topographic trapping of warm, moist air, which amplifies daytime heating under clear skies while frequent afternoon thunderstorms can moderate maxima. Current short-term model guidance and seasonal analogs point to highs near 35°C, with slight upward shifts possible if high-pressure ridging strengthens or cloud cover decreases; conversely, enhanced monsoon moisture or convective activity would favor the lower end. Urban heat-island effects in the city center add a small but consistent warming bias, and resolution hinges on official station readings distinguishing these close thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 6?
37°C 100%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$83,771 Wol.
$83,771 Wol.
Jul 6, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
37°C 100%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$83,771 Wol.
$83,771 Wol.
Jul 6, 2026
32°C or below
$4,131 Wol.
No
33°C
$4,395 Wol.
No
34°C
$4,367 Wol.
No
35°C
$12,246 Wol.
No
36°C
$9,954 Wol.
No
37°C
$17,984 Wol.
Yes
38°C
$7,360 Wol.
No
39°C
$5,660 Wol.
No
40°C
$6,391 Wol.
No
41°C
$6,153 Wol.
No
42°C or higher
$5,129 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to peak temperatures of 35–38°C in Chengdu on July 6, reflecting the narrow range typical for early-July conditions in the Sichuan Basin. This subtropical monsoon climate features high humidity and topographic trapping of warm, moist air, which amplifies daytime heating under clear skies while frequent afternoon thunderstorms can moderate maxima. Current short-term model guidance and seasonal analogs point to highs near 35°C, with slight upward shifts possible if high-pressure ridging strengthens or cloud cover decreases; conversely, enhanced monsoon moisture or convective activity would favor the lower end. Urban heat-island effects in the city center add a small but consistent warming bias, and resolution hinges on official station readings distinguishing these close thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$83,771Data zakończenia
Jul 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to peak temperatures of 35–38°C in Chengdu on July 6, reflecting the narrow range typical for early-July conditions in the Sichuan Basin. This subtropical monsoon climate features high humidity and topographic trapping of warm, moist air, which amplifies daytime heating under clear skies while frequent afternoon thunderstorms can moderate maxima. Current short-term model guidance and seasonal analogs point to highs near 35°C, with slight upward shifts possible if high-pressure ridging strengthens or cloud cover decreases; conversely, enhanced monsoon moisture or convective activity would favor the lower end. Urban heat-island effects in the city center add a small but consistent warming bias, and resolution hinges on official station readings distinguishing these close thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$83,771Data zakończenia
Jul 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to peak temperatures of 35–38°C in Chengdu on July 6, reflecting the narrow range typical for early-July conditions in the Sichuan Basin. This subtropical monsoon climate features high humidity and topographic trapping of warm, moist air, which amplifies daytime heating under clear skies while frequent afternoon thunderstorms can moderate maxima. Current short-term model guidance and seasonal analogs point to highs near 35°C, with slight upward shifts possible if high-pressure ridging strengthens or cloud cover decreases; conversely, enhanced monsoon moisture or convective activity would favor the lower end. Urban heat-island effects in the city center add a small but consistent warming bias, and resolution hinges on official station readings distinguishing these close thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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