**Forecast model consensus for Chongqing on July 27 points to a peak near 38–39 °C under typical midsummer subtropical conditions.** High humidity and the city’s basin topography support strong daytime heating, while scattered thunderstorms—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—could limit the daily maximum by enhancing cloud cover or evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 38–39 °C threshold because small differences in convective timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the realized high by 1–2 °C. Historical July extremes in Chongqing often reach or exceed 40 °C, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to both sub-37 °C and 40 °C+ scenarios. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 27?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 27?
38°C 33%
39°C 25%
37°C 20%
40°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 27, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
6%
37°C
20%
38°C
33%
39°C
25%
40°C
17%
41°C
4%
42°C
2%
43°C or higher
2%
38°C 33%
39°C 25%
37°C 20%
40°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 27, 2026
33°C or below
$294 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$466 Wol.
1%
35°C
$166 Wol.
3%
36°C
$301 Wol.
6%
37°C
$663 Wol.
20%
38°C
$493 Wol.
33%
39°C
$858 Wol.
25%
40°C
$841 Wol.
17%
41°C
$364 Wol.
4%
42°C
$81 Wol.
2%
43°C or higher
$26 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus for Chongqing on July 27 points to a peak near 38–39 °C under typical midsummer subtropical conditions.** High humidity and the city’s basin topography support strong daytime heating, while scattered thunderstorms—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—could limit the daily maximum by enhancing cloud cover or evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 38–39 °C threshold because small differences in convective timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the realized high by 1–2 °C. Historical July extremes in Chongqing often reach or exceed 40 °C, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to both sub-37 °C and 40 °C+ scenarios. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,524Data zakończenia
Jul 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus for Chongqing on July 27 points to a peak near 38–39 °C under typical midsummer subtropical conditions.** High humidity and the city’s basin topography support strong daytime heating, while scattered thunderstorms—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—could limit the daily maximum by enhancing cloud cover or evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 38–39 °C threshold because small differences in convective timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the realized high by 1–2 °C. Historical July extremes in Chongqing often reach or exceed 40 °C, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to both sub-37 °C and 40 °C+ scenarios. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,524Data zakończenia
Jul 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model consensus for Chongqing on July 27 points to a peak near 38–39 °C under typical midsummer subtropical conditions.** High humidity and the city’s basin topography support strong daytime heating, while scattered thunderstorms—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—could limit the daily maximum by enhancing cloud cover or evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 38–39 °C threshold because small differences in convective timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the realized high by 1–2 °C. Historical July extremes in Chongqing often reach or exceed 40 °C, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to both sub-37 °C and 40 °C+ scenarios. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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