Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport recorded the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at 82-83°F, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that bin amid a severe weather outbreak featuring large hail, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating below pre-event forecasts of upper 80s to 90s°F. Model consensus from NOAA's guidance had anticipated stronger southerly winds and partial sun, but a cold front and convective activity capped solar insolation and limited boundary layer warming, aligning with historical April analogs where storm interference yields highs 5-10°F below climatological norms of 79°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or station metadata adjustments, though NWS final reports rarely shift beyond 1°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on April 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 28?
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$193,235 Wol.
$193,235 Wol.
Apr 28, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$193,235 Wol.
$193,235 Wol.
Apr 28, 2026
73°F or below
$13,229 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$10,658 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$8,852 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$8,329 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$8,230 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$17,151 Wol.
Yes
84-85°F
$18,774 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$15,294 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$39,350 Wol.
No
90-91°F
$21,850 Wol.
No
92°F or higher
$31,518 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport recorded the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at 82-83°F, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that bin amid a severe weather outbreak featuring large hail, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating below pre-event forecasts of upper 80s to 90s°F. Model consensus from NOAA's guidance had anticipated stronger southerly winds and partial sun, but a cold front and convective activity capped solar insolation and limited boundary layer warming, aligning with historical April analogs where storm interference yields highs 5-10°F below climatological norms of 79°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or station metadata adjustments, though NWS final reports rarely shift beyond 1°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 26, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$193,235Data zakończenia
Apr 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 26, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport recorded the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at 82-83°F, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that bin amid a severe weather outbreak featuring large hail, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating below pre-event forecasts of upper 80s to 90s°F. Model consensus from NOAA's guidance had anticipated stronger southerly winds and partial sun, but a cold front and convective activity capped solar insolation and limited boundary layer warming, aligning with historical April analogs where storm interference yields highs 5-10°F below climatological norms of 79°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or station metadata adjustments, though NWS final reports rarely shift beyond 1°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$193,235Data zakończenia
Apr 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 26, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport recorded the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at 82-83°F, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that bin amid a severe weather outbreak featuring large hail, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating below pre-event forecasts of upper 80s to 90s°F. Model consensus from NOAA's guidance had anticipated stronger southerly winds and partial sun, but a cold front and convective activity capped solar insolation and limited boundary layer warming, aligning with historical April analogs where storm interference yields highs 5-10°F below climatological norms of 79°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or station metadata adjustments, though NWS final reports rarely shift beyond 1°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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