**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Denver on June 15, 2026, rests on the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum at the primary Denver station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or DIA).** This aligns with mid-June normals of 82-83°F, adjusted downward by localized steering patterns, light northeast winds around 5-9 mph, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy or post-frontal conditions. Official observations from calibrated thermometers at standard 5-foot height provide the verifiable ground truth for resolution, with traders converging on this narrow bin once preliminary data and model runs locked in values within that range. Minor revisions to rounding or station selection remain the only realistic challenges, though NWS protocols make such shifts highly improbable after issuance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on June 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on June 15?
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$31,108 Wol.
$31,108 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$31,108 Wol.
$31,108 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
69°F or below
$5,057 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$1,202 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$2,699 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$1,858 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$2,211 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$3,877 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$5,572 Wol.
Yes
82-83°F
$2,343 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$2,557 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$2,157 Wol.
No
88°F or higher
$1,574 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Denver on June 15, 2026, rests on the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum at the primary Denver station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or DIA).** This aligns with mid-June normals of 82-83°F, adjusted downward by localized steering patterns, light northeast winds around 5-9 mph, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy or post-frontal conditions. Official observations from calibrated thermometers at standard 5-foot height provide the verifiable ground truth for resolution, with traders converging on this narrow bin once preliminary data and model runs locked in values within that range. Minor revisions to rounding or station selection remain the only realistic challenges, though NWS protocols make such shifts highly improbable after issuance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$31,108Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Denver on June 15, 2026, rests on the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum at the primary Denver station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or DIA).** This aligns with mid-June normals of 82-83°F, adjusted downward by localized steering patterns, light northeast winds around 5-9 mph, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy or post-frontal conditions. Official observations from calibrated thermometers at standard 5-foot height provide the verifiable ground truth for resolution, with traders converging on this narrow bin once preliminary data and model runs locked in values within that range. Minor revisions to rounding or station selection remain the only realistic challenges, though NWS protocols make such shifts highly improbable after issuance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$31,108Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Denver on June 15, 2026, rests on the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum at the primary Denver station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or DIA).** This aligns with mid-June normals of 82-83°F, adjusted downward by localized steering patterns, light northeast winds around 5-9 mph, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy or post-frontal conditions. Official observations from calibrated thermometers at standard 5-foot height provide the verifiable ground truth for resolution, with traders converging on this narrow bin once preliminary data and model runs locked in values within that range. Minor revisions to rounding or station selection remain the only realistic challenges, though NWS protocols make such shifts highly improbable after issuance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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