Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 60°F or higher, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high of 73°F amid mostly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This aligns with the climatological average high of 67°F for the date, drawn from 1991–2020 normals, and current morning observations around 46°F at 7 a.m. showing typical diurnal warming under light southerly flows. Model ensembles from NOAA support sustained highs in the low 70s, with historical data indicating sub-60°F maxima occur less than 5% of the time in early May. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler air from isolated severe thunderstorms or a rapid model shift toward increased cloud cover, though fresh hourly updates from Denver International Airport will refine trajectories by afternoon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on May 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 4?
60°F or higher 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$29,412 Wol.
$29,412 Wol.
May 4, 2026
41°F or below
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60°F or higher
Yes
60°F or higher 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$29,412 Wol.
$29,412 Wol.
May 4, 2026
41°F or below
$3,386 Wol.
No
42-43°F
$782 Wol.
No
44-45°F
$419 Wol.
No
46-47°F
$2,171 Wol.
No
48-49°F
$842 Wol.
No
50-51°F
$921 Wol.
No
52-53°F
$1,727 Wol.
No
54-55°F
$3,887 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$4,943 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$3,707 Wol.
No
60°F or higher
$6,627 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 60°F or higher, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high of 73°F amid mostly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This aligns with the climatological average high of 67°F for the date, drawn from 1991–2020 normals, and current morning observations around 46°F at 7 a.m. showing typical diurnal warming under light southerly flows. Model ensembles from NOAA support sustained highs in the low 70s, with historical data indicating sub-60°F maxima occur less than 5% of the time in early May. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler air from isolated severe thunderstorms or a rapid model shift toward increased cloud cover, though fresh hourly updates from Denver International Airport will refine trajectories by afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$29,412Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 60°F or higher, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high of 73°F amid mostly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This aligns with the climatological average high of 67°F for the date, drawn from 1991–2020 normals, and current morning observations around 46°F at 7 a.m. showing typical diurnal warming under light southerly flows. Model ensembles from NOAA support sustained highs in the low 70s, with historical data indicating sub-60°F maxima occur less than 5% of the time in early May. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler air from isolated severe thunderstorms or a rapid model shift toward increased cloud cover, though fresh hourly updates from Denver International Airport will refine trajectories by afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$29,412Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 60°F or higher, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high of 73°F amid mostly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This aligns with the climatological average high of 67°F for the date, drawn from 1991–2020 normals, and current morning observations around 46°F at 7 a.m. showing typical diurnal warming under light southerly flows. Model ensembles from NOAA support sustained highs in the low 70s, with historical data indicating sub-60°F maxima occur less than 5% of the time in early May. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler air from isolated severe thunderstorms or a rapid model shift toward increased cloud cover, though fresh hourly updates from Denver International Airport will refine trajectories by afternoon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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