Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on July 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 2?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$87,910 Wol.
$87,910 Wol.
Jul 2, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$87,910 Wol.
$87,910 Wol.
Jul 2, 2026
28°C or below
$5,390 Wol.
No
29°C
$3,359 Wol.
No
30°C
$4,380 Wol.
No
31°C
$5,859 Wol.
No
32°C
$6,645 Wol.
No
33°C
$21,510 Wol.
No
34°C
$11,935 Wol.
Yes
35°C
$11,199 Wol.
No
36°C
$7,002 Wol.
No
37°C
$5,312 Wol.
No
38°C or higher
$5,319 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$87,910Data zakończenia
Jul 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$87,910Data zakończenia
Jul 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania