Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on July 3?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 3?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$103,022 Wol.
$103,022 Wol.
Jul 3, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$103,022 Wol.
$103,022 Wol.
Jul 3, 2026
7°C or below
$1,522 Wol.
No
8°C
$3,601 Wol.
No
9°C
$3,694 Wol.
No
10°C
$4,057 Wol.
No
11°C
$7,979 Wol.
No
12°C
$10,071 Wol.
No
13°C
$27,489 Wol.
Yes
14°C
$16,634 Wol.
No
15°C
$19,094 Wol.
No
16°C
$4,966 Wol.
No
17°C or higher
$3,915 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$103,022Data zakończenia
Jul 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$103,022Data zakończenia
Jul 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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