Recent model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers over Chengdu on July 5, keeping daytime maximum temperatures centered near 33–35 °C. These conditions arise from the persistent influence of the East Asian monsoon, which sustains high humidity and limits strong solar heating within the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trap. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and coverage of convection, which can shave several degrees off peak readings if rain arrives earlier or deepen warming if skies clear. Historical July climatology shows similar setups yielding highs in this narrow band, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 33–35 °C while leaving room for 36 °C or higher only if subsidence strengthens.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 5?
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$91,172 Wol.
$91,172 Wol.
Jul 5, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$91,172 Wol.
$91,172 Wol.
Jul 5, 2026
29°C or below
$1,561 Wol.
No
30°C
$3,067 Wol.
No
31°C
$2,328 Wol.
No
32°C
$4,338 Wol.
No
33°C
$8,187 Wol.
No
34°C
$13,959 Wol.
No
35°C
$17,911 Wol.
No
36°C
$12,956 Wol.
No
37°C
$12,055 Wol.
Yes
38°C
$9,476 Wol.
No
39°C or higher
$5,335 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers over Chengdu on July 5, keeping daytime maximum temperatures centered near 33–35 °C. These conditions arise from the persistent influence of the East Asian monsoon, which sustains high humidity and limits strong solar heating within the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trap. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and coverage of convection, which can shave several degrees off peak readings if rain arrives earlier or deepen warming if skies clear. Historical July climatology shows similar setups yielding highs in this narrow band, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 33–35 °C while leaving room for 36 °C or higher only if subsidence strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$91,172Data zakończenia
Jul 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers over Chengdu on July 5, keeping daytime maximum temperatures centered near 33–35 °C. These conditions arise from the persistent influence of the East Asian monsoon, which sustains high humidity and limits strong solar heating within the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trap. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and coverage of convection, which can shave several degrees off peak readings if rain arrives earlier or deepen warming if skies clear. Historical July climatology shows similar setups yielding highs in this narrow band, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 33–35 °C while leaving room for 36 °C or higher only if subsidence strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$91,172Data zakończenia
Jul 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers over Chengdu on July 5, keeping daytime maximum temperatures centered near 33–35 °C. These conditions arise from the persistent influence of the East Asian monsoon, which sustains high humidity and limits strong solar heating within the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trap. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and coverage of convection, which can shave several degrees off peak readings if rain arrives earlier or deepen warming if skies clear. Historical July climatology shows similar setups yielding highs in this narrow band, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 33–35 °C while leaving room for 36 °C or higher only if subsidence strengthens.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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