Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area, positioning 96–97 °F as the most probable daily maximum at official stations. Ensemble forecasts cluster in the mid- to upper-90s, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds on the 15th. Historical July normals near 85 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F reflects trader assessment of these short-range model differences and the limited time remaining before observations finalize the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on July 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 15?
94-95°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$108,550 Wol.
$108,550 Wol.
Jul 15, 2026
89°F or below
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$108,550 Wol.
$108,550 Wol.
Jul 15, 2026
89°F or below
$15,505 Wol.
No
90-91°F
$11,904 Wol.
No
92-93°F
$34,433 Wol.
No
94-95°F
$12,923 Wol.
Yes
96-97°F
$16,130 Wol.
No
98-99°F
$6,991 Wol.
No
100-101°F
$4,644 Wol.
No
102-103°F
$3,158 Wol.
No
104-105°F
$1,944 Wol.
No
106-107°F
$667 Wol.
No
108°F or higher
$251 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area, positioning 96–97 °F as the most probable daily maximum at official stations. Ensemble forecasts cluster in the mid- to upper-90s, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds on the 15th. Historical July normals near 85 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F reflects trader assessment of these short-range model differences and the limited time remaining before observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$108,550Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area, positioning 96–97 °F as the most probable daily maximum at official stations. Ensemble forecasts cluster in the mid- to upper-90s, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds on the 15th. Historical July normals near 85 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F reflects trader assessment of these short-range model differences and the limited time remaining before observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$108,550Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area, positioning 96–97 °F as the most probable daily maximum at official stations. Ensemble forecasts cluster in the mid- to upper-90s, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds on the 15th. Historical July normals near 85 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F reflects trader assessment of these short-range model differences and the limited time remaining before observations finalize the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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