Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$240,529 Wol.
$240,529 Wol.
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$240,529 Wol.
$240,529 Wol.
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
$8,973 Wol.
No
26°C
$20,000 Wol.
No
27°C
$68,251 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$39,786 Wol.
No
29°C
$29,854 Wol.
No
30°C
$24,025 Wol.
No
31°C
$19,870 Wol.
No
32°C
$10,006 Wol.
No
33°C
$8,952 Wol.
No
34°C
$4,934 Wol.
No
35°C or higher
$5,878 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$240,529Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$240,529Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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