**Recent official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s July 18 high near 30–33°C amid typical midsummer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This range aligns with historical July averages of 30–32°C while allowing for modest daily variability driven by sea-breeze timing and exact peak-hour insolation. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (56.5%) and 33°C (30.5%), reflecting model runs that favor the upper half of the expected envelope without signaling an anomalous heat episode. With resolution only two days away, any late adjustment in numerical guidance or observed afternoon maxima will determine whether the peak settles at or above 34°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 18?
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,778 Wol.
$40,778 Wol.
Jul 18, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,778 Wol.
$40,778 Wol.
Jul 18, 2026
30°C or below
$1,435 Wol.
No
31°C
$750 Wol.
No
32°C
$4,156 Wol.
No
33°C
$7,701 Wol.
No
34°C
$12,550 Wol.
No
35°C
$6,402 Wol.
Yes
36°C
$2,607 Wol.
No
37°C
$3,294 Wol.
No
38°C
$1,217 Wol.
No
39°C
$358 Wol.
No
40°C or higher
$309 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s July 18 high near 30–33°C amid typical midsummer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This range aligns with historical July averages of 30–32°C while allowing for modest daily variability driven by sea-breeze timing and exact peak-hour insolation. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (56.5%) and 33°C (30.5%), reflecting model runs that favor the upper half of the expected envelope without signaling an anomalous heat episode. With resolution only two days away, any late adjustment in numerical guidance or observed afternoon maxima will determine whether the peak settles at or above 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,778Data zakończenia
Jul 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s July 18 high near 30–33°C amid typical midsummer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This range aligns with historical July averages of 30–32°C while allowing for modest daily variability driven by sea-breeze timing and exact peak-hour insolation. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (56.5%) and 33°C (30.5%), reflecting model runs that favor the upper half of the expected envelope without signaling an anomalous heat episode. With resolution only two days away, any late adjustment in numerical guidance or observed afternoon maxima will determine whether the peak settles at or above 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$40,778Data zakończenia
Jul 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Recent official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s July 18 high near 30–33°C amid typical midsummer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This range aligns with historical July averages of 30–32°C while allowing for modest daily variability driven by sea-breeze timing and exact peak-hour insolation. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (56.5%) and 33°C (30.5%), reflecting model runs that favor the upper half of the expected envelope without signaling an anomalous heat episode. With resolution only two days away, any late adjustment in numerical guidance or observed afternoon maxima will determine whether the peak settles at or above 34°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania