Current forecast models point to a peak of 32–34°C in Guangzhou on July 14, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, elevated solar insolation, and high humidity that amplify daytime heating while scattered moderate rain—shown in recent guidance—could limit extremes through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus around 33°C or higher reflects model spread on rainfall timing and intensity, typical for mid-July when climatological highs average near 32°C but occasional clear spells allow brief spikes. Updated numerical weather predictions from regional agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on July 14?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 14?
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$52,655 Wol.
$52,655 Wol.
Jul 14, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
Yes
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$52,655 Wol.
$52,655 Wol.
Jul 14, 2026
24°C or below
$217 Wol.
No
25°C
$196 Wol.
No
26°C
$137 Wol.
No
27°C
$397 Wol.
No
28°C
$6,694 Wol.
No
29°C
$6,475 Wol.
No
30°C
$7,895 Wol.
No
31°C
$6,737 Wol.
No
32°C
$5,818 Wol.
No
33°C
$7,758 Wol.
No
34°C or higher
$10,331 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a peak of 32–34°C in Guangzhou on July 14, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, elevated solar insolation, and high humidity that amplify daytime heating while scattered moderate rain—shown in recent guidance—could limit extremes through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus around 33°C or higher reflects model spread on rainfall timing and intensity, typical for mid-July when climatological highs average near 32°C but occasional clear spells allow brief spikes. Updated numerical weather predictions from regional agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$52,655Data zakończenia
Jul 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a peak of 32–34°C in Guangzhou on July 14, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, elevated solar insolation, and high humidity that amplify daytime heating while scattered moderate rain—shown in recent guidance—could limit extremes through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus around 33°C or higher reflects model spread on rainfall timing and intensity, typical for mid-July when climatological highs average near 32°C but occasional clear spells allow brief spikes. Updated numerical weather predictions from regional agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$52,655Data zakończenia
Jul 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current forecast models point to a peak of 32–34°C in Guangzhou on July 14, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, elevated solar insolation, and high humidity that amplify daytime heating while scattered moderate rain—shown in recent guidance—could limit extremes through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus around 33°C or higher reflects model spread on rainfall timing and intensity, typical for mid-July when climatological highs average near 32°C but occasional clear spells allow brief spikes. Updated numerical weather predictions from regional agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania