Official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—have confirmed a peak temperature of 23°C on May 5, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the local day concludes. Persistent cloud cover and light rain, as reported by China Meteorological Administration monitoring, suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, resulting in highs well below the early May climatological average of 29°C amid post-holiday frontal influences over Guangdong. Model consensus from CMA and local forecasts aligned with this subdued pattern throughout the day. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require an upward revision of preliminary readings from late-afternoon sensors, though evening stability makes this improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 5?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 5?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$37,138 Wol.
$37,138 Wol.
May 5, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$37,138 Wol.
$37,138 Wol.
May 5, 2026
16°C or below
$1,379 Wol.
No
17°C
$720 Wol.
No
18°C
$631 Wol.
No
19°C
$570 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,655 Wol.
No
21°C
$3,559 Wol.
No
22°C
$7,195 Wol.
No
23°C
$9,437 Wol.
Yes
24°C
$3,843 Wol.
No
25°C
$3,387 Wol.
No
26°C or higher
$4,762 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—have confirmed a peak temperature of 23°C on May 5, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the local day concludes. Persistent cloud cover and light rain, as reported by China Meteorological Administration monitoring, suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, resulting in highs well below the early May climatological average of 29°C amid post-holiday frontal influences over Guangdong. Model consensus from CMA and local forecasts aligned with this subdued pattern throughout the day. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require an upward revision of preliminary readings from late-afternoon sensors, though evening stability makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Wolumen
$37,138Data zakończenia
May 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—have confirmed a peak temperature of 23°C on May 5, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the local day concludes. Persistent cloud cover and light rain, as reported by China Meteorological Administration monitoring, suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, resulting in highs well below the early May climatological average of 29°C amid post-holiday frontal influences over Guangdong. Model consensus from CMA and local forecasts aligned with this subdued pattern throughout the day. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require an upward revision of preliminary readings from late-afternoon sensors, though evening stability makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$37,138Data zakończenia
May 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—have confirmed a peak temperature of 23°C on May 5, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the local day concludes. Persistent cloud cover and light rain, as reported by China Meteorological Administration monitoring, suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, resulting in highs well below the early May climatological average of 29°C amid post-holiday frontal influences over Guangdong. Model consensus from CMA and local forecasts aligned with this subdued pattern throughout the day. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require an upward revision of preliminary readings from late-afternoon sensors, though evening stability makes this improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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