Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 26°C today, driven by official observations at the resolution source—Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—already peaking at 26°C under persistent overcast skies and isolated showers. China Meteorological Administration guidance, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS, shows consensus for daytime highs of 26–27°C, constrained by a trough fostering convective activity and sea breezes that limit solar heating in this humid subtropical climate, well below May climatological averages near 29°C. With the local day advancing toward evening, only an unlikely abrupt clearing could spur late-afternoon warming; final station data release imminent.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 6?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 6?
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$62,428 Wol.
$62,428 Wol.
May 6, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$62,428 Wol.
$62,428 Wol.
May 6, 2026
24°C or below
$4,344 Wol.
No
25°C
$14,442 Wol.
No
26°C
$11,449 Wol.
Yes
27°C
$4,552 Wol.
No
28°C
$5,307 Wol.
No
29°C
$12,705 Wol.
No
30°C
$2,614 Wol.
No
31°C
$3,104 Wol.
No
32°C
$2,117 Wol.
No
33°C
$1,350 Wol.
No
34°C or higher
$444 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 26°C today, driven by official observations at the resolution source—Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—already peaking at 26°C under persistent overcast skies and isolated showers. China Meteorological Administration guidance, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS, shows consensus for daytime highs of 26–27°C, constrained by a trough fostering convective activity and sea breezes that limit solar heating in this humid subtropical climate, well below May climatological averages near 29°C. With the local day advancing toward evening, only an unlikely abrupt clearing could spur late-afternoon warming; final station data release imminent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Wolumen
$62,428Data zakończenia
May 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 26°C today, driven by official observations at the resolution source—Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—already peaking at 26°C under persistent overcast skies and isolated showers. China Meteorological Administration guidance, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS, shows consensus for daytime highs of 26–27°C, constrained by a trough fostering convective activity and sea breezes that limit solar heating in this humid subtropical climate, well below May climatological averages near 29°C. With the local day advancing toward evening, only an unlikely abrupt clearing could spur late-afternoon warming; final station data release imminent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$62,428Data zakończenia
May 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 26°C today, driven by official observations at the resolution source—Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—already peaking at 26°C under persistent overcast skies and isolated showers. China Meteorological Administration guidance, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS, shows consensus for daytime highs of 26–27°C, constrained by a trough fostering convective activity and sea breezes that limit solar heating in this humid subtropical climate, well below May climatological averages near 29°C. With the local day advancing toward evening, only an unlikely abrupt clearing could spur late-afternoon warming; final station data release imminent.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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