Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations in Guangzhou, including Baiyun Airport, confirm the daily maximum temperature reached exactly 32°C during mid-afternoon hours on May 7, under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity around 70-80%. This peak aligns with forecast model consensus from earlier ECMWF and GFS runs predicting highs near 31-32°C amid weak southerly winds and no significant heat dome influence. As evening cooling sets in—current readings dropping to 28°C—trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game certainty, backed by real-time station telemetry. A realistic challenge would require a late revision in final CMA data from an overlooked urban heat island sensor, though historical precedents show such adjustments rare below 0.5°C. Final resolution awaits tomorrow's official bulletin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 7?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 7?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$55,910 Wol.
$55,910 Wol.
May 7, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$55,910 Wol.
$55,910 Wol.
May 7, 2026
25°C or below
$1,073 Wol.
No
26°C
$2,429 Wol.
No
27°C
$4,071 Wol.
No
28°C
$3,192 Wol.
No
29°C
$2,428 Wol.
No
30°C
$2,698 Wol.
No
31°C
$9,750 Wol.
No
32°C
$10,598 Wol.
Yes
33°C
$11,281 Wol.
No
34°C
$5,449 Wol.
No
35°C or higher
$2,942 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations in Guangzhou, including Baiyun Airport, confirm the daily maximum temperature reached exactly 32°C during mid-afternoon hours on May 7, under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity around 70-80%. This peak aligns with forecast model consensus from earlier ECMWF and GFS runs predicting highs near 31-32°C amid weak southerly winds and no significant heat dome influence. As evening cooling sets in—current readings dropping to 28°C—trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game certainty, backed by real-time station telemetry. A realistic challenge would require a late revision in final CMA data from an overlooked urban heat island sensor, though historical precedents show such adjustments rare below 0.5°C. Final resolution awaits tomorrow's official bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 5, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$55,910Data zakończenia
May 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 12:15 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations in Guangzhou, including Baiyun Airport, confirm the daily maximum temperature reached exactly 32°C during mid-afternoon hours on May 7, under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity around 70-80%. This peak aligns with forecast model consensus from earlier ECMWF and GFS runs predicting highs near 31-32°C amid weak southerly winds and no significant heat dome influence. As evening cooling sets in—current readings dropping to 28°C—trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game certainty, backed by real-time station telemetry. A realistic challenge would require a late revision in final CMA data from an overlooked urban heat island sensor, though historical precedents show such adjustments rare below 0.5°C. Final resolution awaits tomorrow's official bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$55,910Data zakończenia
May 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 12:15 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations in Guangzhou, including Baiyun Airport, confirm the daily maximum temperature reached exactly 32°C during mid-afternoon hours on May 7, under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity around 70-80%. This peak aligns with forecast model consensus from earlier ECMWF and GFS runs predicting highs near 31-32°C amid weak southerly winds and no significant heat dome influence. As evening cooling sets in—current readings dropping to 28°C—trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game certainty, backed by real-time station telemetry. A realistic challenge would require a late revision in final CMA data from an overlooked urban heat island sensor, though historical precedents show such adjustments rare below 0.5°C. Final resolution awaits tomorrow's official bulletin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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