Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 22 minimum temperature reflects uncertainty in East Asian monsoon conditions, with leading outcomes clustered at 23–25°C (roughly 60% combined implied probability). Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and potential afternoon thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping morning lows near or slightly below the 25°C July average per Korea Meteorological Administration climatology. Recent model runs show light winds and scattered rain that could suppress or slightly elevate the low depending on timing and urban heat island effects. New short-range forecasts and updated KMA guidance ahead of the 22nd will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 22–24°C range or hold warmer near 25–26°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on July 22?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 22?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$24,268 Wol.
$24,268 Wol.
Jul 22, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$24,268 Wol.
$24,268 Wol.
Jul 22, 2026
19°C or below
$1,010 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,020 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,007 Wol.
No
22°C
$3,137 Wol.
No
23°C
$10,714 Wol.
Yes
24°C
$3,107 Wol.
No
25°C
$2,542 Wol.
No
26°C
$695 Wol.
No
27°C
$315 Wol.
No
28°C
$435 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$286 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 22 minimum temperature reflects uncertainty in East Asian monsoon conditions, with leading outcomes clustered at 23–25°C (roughly 60% combined implied probability). Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and potential afternoon thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping morning lows near or slightly below the 25°C July average per Korea Meteorological Administration climatology. Recent model runs show light winds and scattered rain that could suppress or slightly elevate the low depending on timing and urban heat island effects. New short-range forecasts and updated KMA guidance ahead of the 22nd will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 22–24°C range or hold warmer near 25–26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$24,268Data zakończenia
Jul 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 22 minimum temperature reflects uncertainty in East Asian monsoon conditions, with leading outcomes clustered at 23–25°C (roughly 60% combined implied probability). Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and potential afternoon thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping morning lows near or slightly below the 25°C July average per Korea Meteorological Administration climatology. Recent model runs show light winds and scattered rain that could suppress or slightly elevate the low depending on timing and urban heat island effects. New short-range forecasts and updated KMA guidance ahead of the 22nd will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 22–24°C range or hold warmer near 25–26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$24,268Data zakończenia
Jul 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 22 minimum temperature reflects uncertainty in East Asian monsoon conditions, with leading outcomes clustered at 23–25°C (roughly 60% combined implied probability). Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and potential afternoon thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping morning lows near or slightly below the 25°C July average per Korea Meteorological Administration climatology. Recent model runs show light winds and scattered rain that could suppress or slightly elevate the low depending on timing and urban heat island effects. New short-range forecasts and updated KMA guidance ahead of the 22nd will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 22–24°C range or hold warmer near 25–26°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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