Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on April 28?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 28?
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$24,341 Wol.
$24,341 Wol.
Apr 28, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$24,341 Wol.
$24,341 Wol.
Apr 28, 2026
67°F or below
$1,025 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$1,216 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$2,919 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$1,926 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$1,465 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$993 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$1,755 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$1,881 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$2,914 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$3,543 Wol.
No
86°F or higher
$4,705 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$24,341Data zakończenia
Apr 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$24,341Data zakończenia
Apr 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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