Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 30°C high for Istanbul on June 15, with mid-June climatology and persistent high-pressure ridging favoring peak readings near this threshold under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows daytime maxima stabilizing around 28–30°C, aligning with historical averages that climb toward 26–28°C by mid-month. Traders' strong consensus reflects real-time model agreement and observed conditions through the day, though modest uncertainty remains from potential afternoon sea-breeze reinforcement or brief convective cloud development that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$51,008 Wol.
$51,008 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$51,008 Wol.
$51,008 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
26°C or below
$2,404 Wol.
No
27°C
$2,767 Wol.
No
28°C
$3,755 Wol.
No
29°C
$9,815 Wol.
No
30°C
$8,193 Wol.
Yes
31°C
$7,696 Wol.
No
32°C
$8,782 Wol.
No
33°C
$2,281 Wol.
No
34°C
$2,202 Wol.
No
35°C
$1,135 Wol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,979 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 30°C high for Istanbul on June 15, with mid-June climatology and persistent high-pressure ridging favoring peak readings near this threshold under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows daytime maxima stabilizing around 28–30°C, aligning with historical averages that climb toward 26–28°C by mid-month. Traders' strong consensus reflects real-time model agreement and observed conditions through the day, though modest uncertainty remains from potential afternoon sea-breeze reinforcement or brief convective cloud development that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$51,008Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 30°C high for Istanbul on June 15, with mid-June climatology and persistent high-pressure ridging favoring peak readings near this threshold under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows daytime maxima stabilizing around 28–30°C, aligning with historical averages that climb toward 26–28°C by mid-month. Traders' strong consensus reflects real-time model agreement and observed conditions through the day, though modest uncertainty remains from potential afternoon sea-breeze reinforcement or brief convective cloud development that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$51,008Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 30°C high for Istanbul on June 15, with mid-June climatology and persistent high-pressure ridging favoring peak readings near this threshold under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows daytime maxima stabilizing around 28–30°C, aligning with historical averages that climb toward 26–28°C by mid-month. Traders' strong consensus reflects real-time model agreement and observed conditions through the day, though modest uncertainty remains from potential afternoon sea-breeze reinforcement or brief convective cloud development that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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