Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models place Jeddah’s June 30 maximum near 36–38 °C under typical early-summer conditions of high pressure, light winds, and Red Sea humidity moderating extreme heat. These projections align with climatological baselines of 36–37 °C while allowing for day-to-day variability that supports the market’s elevated implied probability on 40 °C or higher. Updated model runs in the past 48 hours show limited warming potential from any strengthening ridge, keeping lower outcomes like 35–37 °C as plausible alternatives if marine-layer influence strengthens. Traders weigh this narrow forecast spread against historical June peaks rarely exceeding 39 °C in coastal Jeddah.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 30?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 30?
40°C or higher 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$76,019 Wol.
$76,019 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
Yes
40°C or higher 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$76,019 Wol.
$76,019 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
30°C or below
$1,177 Wol.
No
31°C
$27,080 Wol.
No
32°C
$3,377 Wol.
No
33°C
$11,756 Wol.
No
34°C
$629 Wol.
No
35°C
$1,076 Wol.
No
36°C
$2,260 Wol.
No
37°C
$7,212 Wol.
No
38°C
$3,362 Wol.
No
39°C
$5,614 Wol.
No
40°C or higher
$12,475 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models place Jeddah’s June 30 maximum near 36–38 °C under typical early-summer conditions of high pressure, light winds, and Red Sea humidity moderating extreme heat. These projections align with climatological baselines of 36–37 °C while allowing for day-to-day variability that supports the market’s elevated implied probability on 40 °C or higher. Updated model runs in the past 48 hours show limited warming potential from any strengthening ridge, keeping lower outcomes like 35–37 °C as plausible alternatives if marine-layer influence strengthens. Traders weigh this narrow forecast spread against historical June peaks rarely exceeding 39 °C in coastal Jeddah.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$76,019Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models place Jeddah’s June 30 maximum near 36–38 °C under typical early-summer conditions of high pressure, light winds, and Red Sea humidity moderating extreme heat. These projections align with climatological baselines of 36–37 °C while allowing for day-to-day variability that supports the market’s elevated implied probability on 40 °C or higher. Updated model runs in the past 48 hours show limited warming potential from any strengthening ridge, keeping lower outcomes like 35–37 °C as plausible alternatives if marine-layer influence strengthens. Traders weigh this narrow forecast spread against historical June peaks rarely exceeding 39 °C in coastal Jeddah.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$76,019Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models place Jeddah’s June 30 maximum near 36–38 °C under typical early-summer conditions of high pressure, light winds, and Red Sea humidity moderating extreme heat. These projections align with climatological baselines of 36–37 °C while allowing for day-to-day variability that supports the market’s elevated implied probability on 40 °C or higher. Updated model runs in the past 48 hours show limited warming potential from any strengthening ridge, keeping lower outcomes like 35–37 °C as plausible alternatives if marine-layer influence strengthens. Traders weigh this narrow forecast spread against historical June peaks rarely exceeding 39 °C in coastal Jeddah.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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