Recent short-range model guidance and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks point to a July 7 maximum near 34–36 °C in Karachi as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region, with scattered cloud cover and increased humidity moderating daytime peaks relative to pre-monsoon conditions. Historical climatology places early-July averages around 32–33 °C, yet drier spells can allow brief excursions to 36 °C while stronger convective activity or sea-breeze reinforcement tends to cap readings at 34 °C. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of monsoon onset, which affects insolation and boundary-layer moisture, along with local wind shifts and urban heat-island effects that can add or subtract 1–2 °C on any given day. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly, traders are weighting the balance between these forecast uncertainties and the narrow historical range observed in similar transition periods.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Karachi on July 7?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 7?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$59,047 Wol.
$59,047 Wol.
Jul 7, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$59,047 Wol.
$59,047 Wol.
Jul 7, 2026
29°C or below
$2,763 Wol.
No
30°C
$2,869 Wol.
No
31°C
$3,634 Wol.
No
32°C
$4,196 Wol.
No
33°C
$9,854 Wol.
No
34°C
$9,929 Wol.
No
35°C
$5,377 Wol.
Yes
36°C
$5,872 Wol.
No
37°C
$5,118 Wol.
No
38°C
$4,640 Wol.
No
39°C or higher
$4,795 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks point to a July 7 maximum near 34–36 °C in Karachi as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region, with scattered cloud cover and increased humidity moderating daytime peaks relative to pre-monsoon conditions. Historical climatology places early-July averages around 32–33 °C, yet drier spells can allow brief excursions to 36 °C while stronger convective activity or sea-breeze reinforcement tends to cap readings at 34 °C. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of monsoon onset, which affects insolation and boundary-layer moisture, along with local wind shifts and urban heat-island effects that can add or subtract 1–2 °C on any given day. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly, traders are weighting the balance between these forecast uncertainties and the narrow historical range observed in similar transition periods.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$59,047Data zakończenia
Jul 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks point to a July 7 maximum near 34–36 °C in Karachi as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region, with scattered cloud cover and increased humidity moderating daytime peaks relative to pre-monsoon conditions. Historical climatology places early-July averages around 32–33 °C, yet drier spells can allow brief excursions to 36 °C while stronger convective activity or sea-breeze reinforcement tends to cap readings at 34 °C. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of monsoon onset, which affects insolation and boundary-layer moisture, along with local wind shifts and urban heat-island effects that can add or subtract 1–2 °C on any given day. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly, traders are weighting the balance between these forecast uncertainties and the narrow historical range observed in similar transition periods.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$59,047Data zakończenia
Jul 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent short-range model guidance and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks point to a July 7 maximum near 34–36 °C in Karachi as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region, with scattered cloud cover and increased humidity moderating daytime peaks relative to pre-monsoon conditions. Historical climatology places early-July averages around 32–33 °C, yet drier spells can allow brief excursions to 36 °C while stronger convective activity or sea-breeze reinforcement tends to cap readings at 34 °C. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of monsoon onset, which affects insolation and boundary-layer moisture, along with local wind shifts and urban heat-island effects that can add or subtract 1–2 °C on any given day. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly, traders are weighting the balance between these forecast uncertainties and the narrow historical range observed in similar transition periods.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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