Persistent high pressure associated with an Omega blocking pattern over the Mediterranean has sustained Italy’s third heatwave of 2026, promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating across the Po Valley. Official guidance from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and Italian meteorological services shows Milan’s maximum temperature on July 19 centered near 32–33 °C, with ensemble spread narrowing around this range and limited potential for 35 °C or higher under current steering flow. Recent model runs have trended slightly cooler than mid-week peaks near 37 °C, supporting the market’s concentration on the 31–32 °C brackets as the most probable outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments from local observing networks will provide the final data for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on July 19?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 19?
32°C 45%
33°C 24%
31°C 22%
34°C 5.3%
$49,128 Wol.
$49,128 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
22%
32°C
45%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
33°C 24%
31°C 22%
34°C 5.3%
$49,128 Wol.
$49,128 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
28°C or below
$1,256 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,454 Wol.
1%
30°C
$4,859 Wol.
4%
31°C
$15,604 Wol.
22%
32°C
$14,339 Wol.
45%
33°C
$4,646 Wol.
24%
34°C
$2,688 Wol.
5%
35°C
$1,529 Wol.
1%
36°C
$1,858 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$677 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$233 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure associated with an Omega blocking pattern over the Mediterranean has sustained Italy’s third heatwave of 2026, promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating across the Po Valley. Official guidance from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and Italian meteorological services shows Milan’s maximum temperature on July 19 centered near 32–33 °C, with ensemble spread narrowing around this range and limited potential for 35 °C or higher under current steering flow. Recent model runs have trended slightly cooler than mid-week peaks near 37 °C, supporting the market’s concentration on the 31–32 °C brackets as the most probable outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments from local observing networks will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$49,128Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure associated with an Omega blocking pattern over the Mediterranean has sustained Italy’s third heatwave of 2026, promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating across the Po Valley. Official guidance from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and Italian meteorological services shows Milan’s maximum temperature on July 19 centered near 32–33 °C, with ensemble spread narrowing around this range and limited potential for 35 °C or higher under current steering flow. Recent model runs have trended slightly cooler than mid-week peaks near 37 °C, supporting the market’s concentration on the 31–32 °C brackets as the most probable outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments from local observing networks will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$49,128Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure associated with an Omega blocking pattern over the Mediterranean has sustained Italy’s third heatwave of 2026, promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating across the Po Valley. Official guidance from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and Italian meteorological services shows Milan’s maximum temperature on July 19 centered near 32–33 °C, with ensemble spread narrowing around this range and limited potential for 35 °C or higher under current steering flow. Recent model runs have trended slightly cooler than mid-week peaks near 37 °C, supporting the market’s concentration on the 31–32 °C brackets as the most probable outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments from local observing networks will provide the final data for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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