Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with daytime highs expected near 30–32°C on July 19 amid moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Ensemble runs indicate limited day-to-day variability due to stable steering patterns, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages for the city hover around 32°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest probabilities to 30–32°C outcomes while discounting extremes above 34°C. Updated model guidance and official observations through July 18 will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 19?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$87,111 Wol.
$87,111 Wol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$87,111 Wol.
$87,111 Wol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with daytime highs expected near 30–32°C on July 19 amid moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Ensemble runs indicate limited day-to-day variability due to stable steering patterns, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages for the city hover around 32°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest probabilities to 30–32°C outcomes while discounting extremes above 34°C. Updated model guidance and official observations through July 18 will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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