Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate Shanghai's July 19 maximum will most likely fall between 31–33°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. A weakening subtropical ridge and increasing moisture from the East China Sea are expected to bring periods of cloud cover and light showers that limit afternoon heating, producing modest positive anomalies relative to the mid-July climatological average near 33°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and 48-hour model runs will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or brief clear intervals push readings toward the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 19?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 19?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$164,963 Wol.
$164,963 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$164,963 Wol.
$164,963 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
26°C or below
$1,345 Wol.
No
27°C
$285 Wol.
No
28°C
$6,229 Wol.
No
29°C
$7,787 Wol.
No
30°C
$17,537 Wol.
No
31°C
$20,809 Wol.
No
32°C
$35,153 Wol.
No
33°C
$23,373 Wol.
Yes
34°C
$18,821 Wol.
No
35°C
$16,089 Wol.
No
36°C or higher
$17,534 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate Shanghai's July 19 maximum will most likely fall between 31–33°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. A weakening subtropical ridge and increasing moisture from the East China Sea are expected to bring periods of cloud cover and light showers that limit afternoon heating, producing modest positive anomalies relative to the mid-July climatological average near 33°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and 48-hour model runs will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or brief clear intervals push readings toward the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$164,963Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate Shanghai's July 19 maximum will most likely fall between 31–33°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. A weakening subtropical ridge and increasing moisture from the East China Sea are expected to bring periods of cloud cover and light showers that limit afternoon heating, producing modest positive anomalies relative to the mid-July climatological average near 33°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and 48-hour model runs will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or brief clear intervals push readings toward the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$164,963Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate Shanghai's July 19 maximum will most likely fall between 31–33°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. A weakening subtropical ridge and increasing moisture from the East China Sea are expected to bring periods of cloud cover and light showers that limit afternoon heating, producing modest positive anomalies relative to the mid-July climatological average near 33°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and 48-hour model runs will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or brief clear intervals push readings toward the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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