Recent official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models center Chongqing's July 19 high near 35–36°C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports elevated temperatures typical of the city's July climatology (historical daily maxima often 32–37°C), while variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and southerly flow on the 18–19th introduce modest cooling that differentiates the leading bins from hotter or cooler alternatives. Traders weigh these short-term model runs against the ongoing regional heatwave that produced a 40°C reading earlier in July, creating the observed spread across 34–37°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 19?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 19?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,023 Wol.
$56,023 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,023 Wol.
$56,023 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
29°C or below
$1,209 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,430 Wol.
No
31°C
$1,963 Wol.
No
32°C
$4,247 Wol.
No
33°C
$4,417 Wol.
No
34°C
$6,254 Wol.
No
35°C
$8,289 Wol.
Yes
36°C
$5,122 Wol.
No
37°C
$5,207 Wol.
No
38°C
$7,726 Wol.
No
39°C or higher
$10,160 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models center Chongqing's July 19 high near 35–36°C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports elevated temperatures typical of the city's July climatology (historical daily maxima often 32–37°C), while variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and southerly flow on the 18–19th introduce modest cooling that differentiates the leading bins from hotter or cooler alternatives. Traders weigh these short-term model runs against the ongoing regional heatwave that produced a 40°C reading earlier in July, creating the observed spread across 34–37°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$56,023Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models center Chongqing's July 19 high near 35–36°C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports elevated temperatures typical of the city's July climatology (historical daily maxima often 32–37°C), while variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and southerly flow on the 18–19th introduce modest cooling that differentiates the leading bins from hotter or cooler alternatives. Traders weigh these short-term model runs against the ongoing regional heatwave that produced a 40°C reading earlier in July, creating the observed spread across 34–37°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$56,023Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models center Chongqing's July 19 high near 35–36°C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports elevated temperatures typical of the city's July climatology (historical daily maxima often 32–37°C), while variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and southerly flow on the 18–19th introduce modest cooling that differentiates the leading bins from hotter or cooler alternatives. Traders weigh these short-term model runs against the ongoing regional heatwave that produced a 40°C reading earlier in July, creating the observed spread across 34–37°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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