Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloud cover and possible rain on July 6 moderating Tokyo's maximum temperatures below typical July averages near 29–30°C, with consensus pointing toward highs around 23–25°C. Recent warm-season outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall for summer 2026, yet day-specific guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could suppress peak readings by several degrees. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs and the influence of localized precipitation timing on observed maxima. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities as atmospheric conditions evolve.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 6?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$114,883 Wol.
$114,883 Wol.
Jul 6, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$114,883 Wol.
$114,883 Wol.
Jul 6, 2026
19°C or below
$3,649 Wol.
No
20°C
$4,964 Wol.
No
21°C
$5,198 Wol.
No
22°C
$6,879 Wol.
No
23°C
$10,731 Wol.
No
24°C
$8,658 Wol.
No
25°C
$19,453 Wol.
No
26°C
$20,667 Wol.
Yes
27°C
$16,830 Wol.
No
28°C
$11,535 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$6,319 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloud cover and possible rain on July 6 moderating Tokyo's maximum temperatures below typical July averages near 29–30°C, with consensus pointing toward highs around 23–25°C. Recent warm-season outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall for summer 2026, yet day-specific guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could suppress peak readings by several degrees. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs and the influence of localized precipitation timing on observed maxima. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities as atmospheric conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$114,883Data zakończenia
Jul 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloud cover and possible rain on July 6 moderating Tokyo's maximum temperatures below typical July averages near 29–30°C, with consensus pointing toward highs around 23–25°C. Recent warm-season outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall for summer 2026, yet day-specific guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could suppress peak readings by several degrees. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs and the influence of localized precipitation timing on observed maxima. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities as atmospheric conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$114,883Data zakończenia
Jul 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloud cover and possible rain on July 6 moderating Tokyo's maximum temperatures below typical July averages near 29–30°C, with consensus pointing toward highs around 23–25°C. Recent warm-season outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall for summer 2026, yet day-specific guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could suppress peak readings by several degrees. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs and the influence of localized precipitation timing on observed maxima. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities as atmospheric conditions evolve.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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