Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station (DNMM) in Lagos confirm the highest temperature reached 33°C on May 5, 2026, peaking at 11:00 and 16:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions with no precipitation, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) outlooks for above-normal early May temperatures under weak La Niña influences, consistent with historical May highs averaging 31°C but frequently hitting 33°C due to urban heat effects and sea breeze moderation. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to Weather Underground's aggregated METAR data—disregarded per market rules—or station sensor discrepancies, though current evidence provides overwhelming support.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lagos on May 5?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 5?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$70,703 Wol.
$70,703 Wol.
May 5, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$70,703 Wol.
$70,703 Wol.
May 5, 2026
27°C or below
$23,631 Wol.
No
28°C
$10,270 Wol.
No
29°C
$4,021 Wol.
No
30°C
$2,887 Wol.
No
31°C
$2,439 Wol.
No
32°C
$4,059 Wol.
No
33°C
$7,421 Wol.
Yes
34°C
$5,934 Wol.
No
35°C
$4,200 Wol.
No
36°C
$2,805 Wol.
No
37°C or higher
$3,036 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station (DNMM) in Lagos confirm the highest temperature reached 33°C on May 5, 2026, peaking at 11:00 and 16:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions with no precipitation, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) outlooks for above-normal early May temperatures under weak La Niña influences, consistent with historical May highs averaging 31°C but frequently hitting 33°C due to urban heat effects and sea breeze moderation. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to Weather Underground's aggregated METAR data—disregarded per market rules—or station sensor discrepancies, though current evidence provides overwhelming support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$70,703Data zakończenia
May 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station (DNMM) in Lagos confirm the highest temperature reached 33°C on May 5, 2026, peaking at 11:00 and 16:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions with no precipitation, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) outlooks for above-normal early May temperatures under weak La Niña influences, consistent with historical May highs averaging 31°C but frequently hitting 33°C due to urban heat effects and sea breeze moderation. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to Weather Underground's aggregated METAR data—disregarded per market rules—or station sensor discrepancies, though current evidence provides overwhelming support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$70,703Data zakończenia
May 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station (DNMM) in Lagos confirm the highest temperature reached 33°C on May 5, 2026, peaking at 11:00 and 16:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions with no precipitation, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) outlooks for above-normal early May temperatures under weak La Niña influences, consistent with historical May highs averaging 31°C but frequently hitting 33°C due to urban heat effects and sea breeze moderation. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to Weather Underground's aggregated METAR data—disregarded per market rules—or station sensor discrepancies, though current evidence provides overwhelming support.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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