**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 6 peak temperature centers on the 35–36°C range (combined ~59% implied probability), reflecting model consensus for near-normal to slightly above-average July conditions at Masroor Airbase amid a delayed monsoon.** Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July 2026 outlook indicates above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall nationwide, reducing cloud cover and allowing stronger daytime heating while the typical Arabian Sea breeze and high humidity cap extremes. Recent July 3 observations reached ~36°C (96.7°F), consistent with early-month climatology of 32–34°C averages but trending warmer under suppressed monsoon flow. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with small shifts in steering winds or localized convection able to tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way—explaining the tight clustering between the two leading outcomes. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the moderating influence of coastal moisture and the low historical frequency of 40°C+ days in July, while sub-34°C outcomes remain discounted given the warm baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Karachi on July 6?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 6?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$58,833 Wol.
$58,833 Wol.
Jul 6, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$58,833 Wol.
$58,833 Wol.
Jul 6, 2026
30°C or below
$3,370 Wol.
No
31°C
$3,377 Wol.
No
32°C
$3,755 Wol.
No
33°C
$5,005 Wol.
No
34°C
$7,084 Wol.
No
35°C
$6,261 Wol.
No
36°C
$7,204 Wol.
Yes
37°C
$4,255 Wol.
No
38°C
$6,824 Wol.
No
39°C
$9,115 Wol.
No
40°C or higher
$2,582 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 6 peak temperature centers on the 35–36°C range (combined ~59% implied probability), reflecting model consensus for near-normal to slightly above-average July conditions at Masroor Airbase amid a delayed monsoon.**
Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July 2026 outlook indicates above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall nationwide, reducing cloud cover and allowing stronger daytime heating while the typical Arabian Sea breeze and high humidity cap extremes. Recent July 3 observations reached ~36°C (96.7°F), consistent with early-month climatology of 32–34°C averages but trending warmer under suppressed monsoon flow.
Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with small shifts in steering winds or localized convection able to tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way—explaining the tight clustering between the two leading outcomes. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the moderating influence of coastal moisture and the low historical frequency of 40°C+ days in July, while sub-34°C outcomes remain discounted given the warm baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$58,833Data zakończenia
Jul 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 6 peak temperature centers on the 35–36°C range (combined ~59% implied probability), reflecting model consensus for near-normal to slightly above-average July conditions at Masroor Airbase amid a delayed monsoon.**
Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July 2026 outlook indicates above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall nationwide, reducing cloud cover and allowing stronger daytime heating while the typical Arabian Sea breeze and high humidity cap extremes. Recent July 3 observations reached ~36°C (96.7°F), consistent with early-month climatology of 32–34°C averages but trending warmer under suppressed monsoon flow.
Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with small shifts in steering winds or localized convection able to tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way—explaining the tight clustering between the two leading outcomes. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the moderating influence of coastal moisture and the low historical frequency of 40°C+ days in July, while sub-34°C outcomes remain discounted given the warm baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$58,833Data zakończenia
Jul 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 6 peak temperature centers on the 35–36°C range (combined ~59% implied probability), reflecting model consensus for near-normal to slightly above-average July conditions at Masroor Airbase amid a delayed monsoon.** Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July 2026 outlook indicates above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall nationwide, reducing cloud cover and allowing stronger daytime heating while the typical Arabian Sea breeze and high humidity cap extremes. Recent July 3 observations reached ~36°C (96.7°F), consistent with early-month climatology of 32–34°C averages but trending warmer under suppressed monsoon flow. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with small shifts in steering winds or localized convection able to tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way—explaining the tight clustering between the two leading outcomes. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the moderating influence of coastal moisture and the low historical frequency of 40°C+ days in July, while sub-34°C outcomes remain discounted given the warm baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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