Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as London's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a maximum of 21°C amid mostly sunny conditions and a high-pressure system. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave cooling after early April records near 26°C in Kew Gardens, returning temperatures to mild late-spring norms (seasonal Heathrow average ~15°C) under light southerly winds and low cloud cover. Model forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO had converged on 20-22°C peaks pre-event, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible, as provisional data rarely revises post-quality control, barring sensor anomalies confirmed within days.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on April 27?
Highest temperature in London on April 27?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$294,925 Wol.
$294,925 Wol.
Apr 27, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$294,925 Wol.
$294,925 Wol.
Apr 27, 2026
15°C or below
$9,558 Wol.
No
16°C
$9,638 Wol.
No
17°C
$7,438 Wol.
No
18°C
$38,502 Wol.
No
19°C
$32,669 Wol.
No
20°C
$93,388 Wol.
No
21°C
$36,299 Wol.
Yes
22°C
$31,587 Wol.
No
23°C
$17,159 Wol.
No
24°C
$8,415 Wol.
No
25°C or higher
$10,272 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as London's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a maximum of 21°C amid mostly sunny conditions and a high-pressure system. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave cooling after early April records near 26°C in Kew Gardens, returning temperatures to mild late-spring norms (seasonal Heathrow average ~15°C) under light southerly winds and low cloud cover. Model forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO had converged on 20-22°C peaks pre-event, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible, as provisional data rarely revises post-quality control, barring sensor anomalies confirmed within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 25, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$294,925Data zakończenia
Apr 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 25, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as London's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a maximum of 21°C amid mostly sunny conditions and a high-pressure system. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave cooling after early April records near 26°C in Kew Gardens, returning temperatures to mild late-spring norms (seasonal Heathrow average ~15°C) under light southerly winds and low cloud cover. Model forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO had converged on 20-22°C peaks pre-event, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible, as provisional data rarely revises post-quality control, barring sensor anomalies confirmed within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$294,925Data zakończenia
Apr 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 25, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as London's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a maximum of 21°C amid mostly sunny conditions and a high-pressure system. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave cooling after early April records near 26°C in Kew Gardens, returning temperatures to mild late-spring norms (seasonal Heathrow average ~15°C) under light southerly winds and low cloud cover. Model forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO had converged on 20-22°C peaks pre-event, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible, as provisional data rarely revises post-quality control, barring sensor anomalies confirmed within days.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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