Recent Met Office forecasts position a 26°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on July 2, with ensemble models showing strong consensus around this value amid a gradual warming trend following recent near-average conditions. Light winds and building high pressure favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures, while urban heat island effects in central areas could support readings near or slightly above the official central London figure. The secondary 27°C outcome reflects residual model spread and potential for localized peaks, though probabilities decline sharply beyond that due to limited intensification signals in current guidance. Traders weigh these forecasts against historical July baselines near 23°C, noting that any late adjustments in ECMWF or UKMO runs could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on July 2?
Highest temperature in London on July 2?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$151,193 Wol.
$151,193 Wol.
Jul 2, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$151,193 Wol.
$151,193 Wol.
Jul 2, 2026
20°C or below
$2,705 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,334 Wol.
No
22°C
$5,201 Wol.
No
23°C
$15,081 Wol.
No
24°C
$17,538 Wol.
No
25°C
$26,515 Wol.
Yes
26°C
$22,937 Wol.
No
27°C
$22,335 Wol.
No
28°C
$18,891 Wol.
No
29°C
$14,734 Wol.
No
30°C or higher
$2,921 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts position a 26°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on July 2, with ensemble models showing strong consensus around this value amid a gradual warming trend following recent near-average conditions. Light winds and building high pressure favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures, while urban heat island effects in central areas could support readings near or slightly above the official central London figure. The secondary 27°C outcome reflects residual model spread and potential for localized peaks, though probabilities decline sharply beyond that due to limited intensification signals in current guidance. Traders weigh these forecasts against historical July baselines near 23°C, noting that any late adjustments in ECMWF or UKMO runs could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 30, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$151,193Data zakończenia
Jul 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 1:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts position a 26°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on July 2, with ensemble models showing strong consensus around this value amid a gradual warming trend following recent near-average conditions. Light winds and building high pressure favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures, while urban heat island effects in central areas could support readings near or slightly above the official central London figure. The secondary 27°C outcome reflects residual model spread and potential for localized peaks, though probabilities decline sharply beyond that due to limited intensification signals in current guidance. Traders weigh these forecasts against historical July baselines near 23°C, noting that any late adjustments in ECMWF or UKMO runs could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$151,193Data zakończenia
Jul 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 1:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent Met Office forecasts position a 26°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on July 2, with ensemble models showing strong consensus around this value amid a gradual warming trend following recent near-average conditions. Light winds and building high pressure favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures, while urban heat island effects in central areas could support readings near or slightly above the official central London figure. The secondary 27°C outcome reflects residual model spread and potential for localized peaks, though probabilities decline sharply beyond that due to limited intensification signals in current guidance. Traders weigh these forecasts against historical July baselines near 23°C, noting that any late adjustments in ECMWF or UKMO runs could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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