India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 41°C for Lucknow on April 19 under clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 42°C (42.5% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner, closely followed by 43°C (26.5%) and 41°C (25.5%). This positioning reflects recent heatwave intensification across Uttar Pradesh, where temperatures rose from 39.8°C on April 16–17 amid persistent solar heating and minimal cloud cover, exceeding seasonal norms by 1–3°C. Pre-monsoon conditions—dry air, strong daytime insolation, and urban heat island effects in Lucknow—support potential for minor forecast overruns, though model consensus holds below 44°C. Final airport observations will resolve the market tomorrow, with low odds on extremes due to historical April peaks rarely surpassing 45°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 19?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 19?
42°C 43%
43°C 30%
41°C 19%
44°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Apr 19, 2026
40°C or below
3%
41°C
19%
42°C
43%
43°C
30%
44°C
7%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C or higher
<1%
42°C 43%
43°C 30%
41°C 19%
44°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Apr 19, 2026
40°C or below
$597 Wol.
3%
41°C
$492 Wol.
19%
42°C
$305 Wol.
43%
43°C
$303 Wol.
30%
44°C
$520 Wol.
7%
45°C
$472 Wol.
1%
46°C
$1,262 Wol.
1%
47°C
$561 Wol.
<1%
48°C
$472 Wol.
<1%
49°C
$496 Wol.
<1%
50°C or higher
$673 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 41°C for Lucknow on April 19 under clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 42°C (42.5% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner, closely followed by 43°C (26.5%) and 41°C (25.5%). This positioning reflects recent heatwave intensification across Uttar Pradesh, where temperatures rose from 39.8°C on April 16–17 amid persistent solar heating and minimal cloud cover, exceeding seasonal norms by 1–3°C. Pre-monsoon conditions—dry air, strong daytime insolation, and urban heat island effects in Lucknow—support potential for minor forecast overruns, though model consensus holds below 44°C. Final airport observations will resolve the market tomorrow, with low odds on extremes due to historical April peaks rarely surpassing 45°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,096Data zakończenia
Apr 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 41°C for Lucknow on April 19 under clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 42°C (42.5% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner, closely followed by 43°C (26.5%) and 41°C (25.5%). This positioning reflects recent heatwave intensification across Uttar Pradesh, where temperatures rose from 39.8°C on April 16–17 amid persistent solar heating and minimal cloud cover, exceeding seasonal norms by 1–3°C. Pre-monsoon conditions—dry air, strong daytime insolation, and urban heat island effects in Lucknow—support potential for minor forecast overruns, though model consensus holds below 44°C. Final airport observations will resolve the market tomorrow, with low odds on extremes due to historical April peaks rarely surpassing 45°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$6,096Data zakończenia
Apr 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 41°C for Lucknow on April 19 under clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 42°C (42.5% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner, closely followed by 43°C (26.5%) and 41°C (25.5%). This positioning reflects recent heatwave intensification across Uttar Pradesh, where temperatures rose from 39.8°C on April 16–17 amid persistent solar heating and minimal cloud cover, exceeding seasonal norms by 1–3°C. Pre-monsoon conditions—dry air, strong daytime insolation, and urban heat island effects in Lucknow—support potential for minor forecast overruns, though model consensus holds below 44°C. Final airport observations will resolve the market tomorrow, with low odds on extremes due to historical April peaks rarely surpassing 45°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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