Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to peak highs near 40°C in Chongqing on July 14, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation amid the region's typical summer monsoon lull. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because minor variations in predicted wind shear, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows average highs of 33–35°C, yet recent multi-day heat anomalies have elevated baseline temperatures, increasing the probability of exceeding 40°C while keeping extremes above 43°C unlikely without an unexpected ridge strengthening. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 14?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 14?
41°C 100.0%
36°C or below <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$64,386 Wol.
$64,386 Wol.
Jul 14, 2026
36°C or below
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
36°C or below <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$64,386 Wol.
$64,386 Wol.
Jul 14, 2026
36°C or below
$2,950 Wol.
No
37°C
$3,400 Wol.
No
38°C
$5,754 Wol.
No
39°C
$7,515 Wol.
No
40°C
$7,963 Wol.
No
41°C
$6,984 Wol.
Yes
42°C
$8,384 Wol.
No
43°C
$14,965 Wol.
No
44°C
$4,636 Wol.
No
45°C
$1,396 Wol.
No
46°C or higher
$440 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to peak highs near 40°C in Chongqing on July 14, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation amid the region's typical summer monsoon lull. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because minor variations in predicted wind shear, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows average highs of 33–35°C, yet recent multi-day heat anomalies have elevated baseline temperatures, increasing the probability of exceeding 40°C while keeping extremes above 43°C unlikely without an unexpected ridge strengthening. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$64,386Data zakończenia
Jul 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to peak highs near 40°C in Chongqing on July 14, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation amid the region's typical summer monsoon lull. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because minor variations in predicted wind shear, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows average highs of 33–35°C, yet recent multi-day heat anomalies have elevated baseline temperatures, increasing the probability of exceeding 40°C while keeping extremes above 43°C unlikely without an unexpected ridge strengthening. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$64,386Data zakończenia
Jul 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to peak highs near 40°C in Chongqing on July 14, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation amid the region's typical summer monsoon lull. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because minor variations in predicted wind shear, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows average highs of 33–35°C, yet recent multi-day heat anomalies have elevated baseline temperatures, increasing the probability of exceeding 40°C while keeping extremes above 43°C unlikely without an unexpected ridge strengthening. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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