Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 21, 2026, backed by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data and forecast models projecting exactly that peak amid ongoing heatwave conditions in Uttar Pradesh. Clear skies, low humidity around 15-30%, and dry soils enabled strong daytime radiative heating, with the airport station forecasting 41.0°C and current evening readings at 35°C (19:30 IST) confirming the maximum has passed without exceeding it—consistent with yesterday's 41.6°C. Historical April norms near 38°C underscore the anomalous warmth driven by persistent high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges, though improbable this late, include station-specific measurement variances or unforecast gusts altering late-afternoon peaks; final IMD confirmation expected tomorrow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 21?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 21?
41°C 100.0%
38°C or below <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$74,142 Wol.
$74,142 Wol.
Apr 21, 2026
38°C or below
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
38°C or below <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$74,142 Wol.
$74,142 Wol.
Apr 21, 2026
38°C or below
$6,104 Wol.
No
39°C
$9,667 Wol.
No
40°C
$7,896 Wol.
No
41°C
$16,164 Wol.
Yes
42°C
$9,528 Wol.
No
43°C
$6,774 Wol.
No
44°C
$3,556 Wol.
No
45°C
$1,895 Wol.
No
46°C
$8,935 Wol.
No
47°C
$2,019 Wol.
No
48°C or higher
$1,606 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 21, 2026, backed by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data and forecast models projecting exactly that peak amid ongoing heatwave conditions in Uttar Pradesh. Clear skies, low humidity around 15-30%, and dry soils enabled strong daytime radiative heating, with the airport station forecasting 41.0°C and current evening readings at 35°C (19:30 IST) confirming the maximum has passed without exceeding it—consistent with yesterday's 41.6°C. Historical April norms near 38°C underscore the anomalous warmth driven by persistent high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges, though improbable this late, include station-specific measurement variances or unforecast gusts altering late-afternoon peaks; final IMD confirmation expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$74,142Data zakończenia
Apr 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 21, 2026, backed by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data and forecast models projecting exactly that peak amid ongoing heatwave conditions in Uttar Pradesh. Clear skies, low humidity around 15-30%, and dry soils enabled strong daytime radiative heating, with the airport station forecasting 41.0°C and current evening readings at 35°C (19:30 IST) confirming the maximum has passed without exceeding it—consistent with yesterday's 41.6°C. Historical April norms near 38°C underscore the anomalous warmth driven by persistent high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges, though improbable this late, include station-specific measurement variances or unforecast gusts altering late-afternoon peaks; final IMD confirmation expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$74,142Data zakończenia
Apr 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 21, 2026, backed by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data and forecast models projecting exactly that peak amid ongoing heatwave conditions in Uttar Pradesh. Clear skies, low humidity around 15-30%, and dry soils enabled strong daytime radiative heating, with the airport station forecasting 41.0°C and current evening readings at 35°C (19:30 IST) confirming the maximum has passed without exceeding it—consistent with yesterday's 41.6°C. Historical April norms near 38°C underscore the anomalous warmth driven by persistent high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges, though improbable this late, include station-specific measurement variances or unforecast gusts altering late-afternoon peaks; final IMD confirmation expected tomorrow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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