India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport recorded Lucknow's maximum temperature at 42.9°C on April 25, 2026—a +3.8°C departure from normal amid persistent heatwave conditions fueled by clear skies, low humidity around 19-34%, and westerly winds. This precise measurement, reported in IMD's morning bulletin, aligns with the market's 100% implied probability on the 43°C outcome, reflecting trader consensus on the official airport data used for resolution. Forecast models had anticipated peaks near 44°C, but actual readings peaked mid-afternoon without further intensification. Realistic challenges would require a measurement revision from IMD or an overlooked higher reading before midnight, though diurnal cooling and late-day observations make this improbable. Final IMD confirmation expected shortly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 25?
43°C 100.0%
40°C or below <1%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$57,821 Wol.
$57,821 Wol.
40°C or below
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
Yes
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C or higher
No
43°C 100.0%
40°C or below <1%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$57,821 Wol.
$57,821 Wol.
40°C or below
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
Yes
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 23, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport recorded Lucknow's maximum temperature at 42.9°C on April 25, 2026—a +3.8°C departure from normal amid persistent heatwave conditions fueled by clear skies, low humidity around 19-34%, and westerly winds. This precise measurement, reported in IMD's morning bulletin, aligns with the market's 100% implied probability on the 43°C outcome, reflecting trader consensus on the official airport data used for resolution. Forecast models had anticipated peaks near 44°C, but actual readings peaked mid-afternoon without further intensification. Realistic challenges would require a measurement revision from IMD or an overlooked higher reading before midnight, though diurnal cooling and late-day observations make this improbable. Final IMD confirmation expected shortly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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