**Active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including widespread cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and rainfall expected on August 22, are the main driver keeping Lucknow's maximum temperature in the narrow 31–33 °C range favored by traders.** Official forecasts and model guidance consistently point to highs near 32 °C amid 80–100 % probability of rain or thunderstorms, which reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling. This monsoon-driven suppression aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 32 °C leads at 35.5 % followed by 33 °C (24.5 %) and 31 °C (22.0 %), while outcomes above 34 °C remain low-probability outliers. Recent heavy rain on August 21 and continued IMD alerts for thundershowers reinforce the pattern, consistent with typical August climatology of 33–34 °C highs moderated by precipitation. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 21 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 22?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 22?
32°C 34%
31°C 26%
33°C 23%
34°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C
34%
33°C
23%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 34%
31°C 26%
33°C 23%
34°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
$367 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$367 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$283 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$92 Wol.
1%
29°C
$60 Wol.
3%
30°C
$350 Wol.
9%
31°C
$691 Wol.
26%
32°C
$865 Wol.
34%
33°C
$644 Wol.
23%
34°C
$441 Wol.
10%
35°C or higher
$331 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including widespread cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and rainfall expected on August 22, are the main driver keeping Lucknow's maximum temperature in the narrow 31–33 °C range favored by traders.** Official forecasts and model guidance consistently point to highs near 32 °C amid 80–100 % probability of rain or thunderstorms, which reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling. This monsoon-driven suppression aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 32 °C leads at 35.5 % followed by 33 °C (24.5 %) and 31 °C (22.0 %), while outcomes above 34 °C remain low-probability outliers. Recent heavy rain on August 21 and continued IMD alerts for thundershowers reinforce the pattern, consistent with typical August climatology of 33–34 °C highs moderated by precipitation. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 21 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,492Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including widespread cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and rainfall expected on August 22, are the main driver keeping Lucknow's maximum temperature in the narrow 31–33 °C range favored by traders.** Official forecasts and model guidance consistently point to highs near 32 °C amid 80–100 % probability of rain or thunderstorms, which reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling. This monsoon-driven suppression aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 32 °C leads at 35.5 % followed by 33 °C (24.5 %) and 31 °C (22.0 %), while outcomes above 34 °C remain low-probability outliers. Recent heavy rain on August 21 and continued IMD alerts for thundershowers reinforce the pattern, consistent with typical August climatology of 33–34 °C highs moderated by precipitation. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 21 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,492Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including widespread cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and rainfall expected on August 22, are the main driver keeping Lucknow's maximum temperature in the narrow 31–33 °C range favored by traders.** Official forecasts and model guidance consistently point to highs near 32 °C amid 80–100 % probability of rain or thunderstorms, which reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling. This monsoon-driven suppression aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 32 °C leads at 35.5 % followed by 33 °C (24.5 %) and 31 °C (22.0 %), while outcomes above 34 °C remain low-probability outliers. Recent heavy rain on August 21 and continued IMD alerts for thundershowers reinforce the pattern, consistent with typical August climatology of 33–34 °C highs moderated by precipitation. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 21 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania